Friends, the speculation and gamemanship following in the wake of the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has already reached a crescendo, and it hasn't even been a day since RBG passed away! Hold on to your hats, America.
Here is some analysis from our good friends at Fox News.
Trump, for his part, seems determined to move forward ASAP:
Some Republican Senators, on the other hand, especially if they're facing reelection, might be more circumspect about the process:
Democrats, meanwhile, are anxious, to say the least, and they're already contemplating extreme reactions, if a Trump nominee is confirmed:
Finally, we still face the likelihood of a contested election, which the Supreme Court would be called upon to referee. Now that court is down to just eight Justices. What does that portend for the outcome of the election?
My take? My preliminary reaction is that Trump and the GOP must choose a replacement for Ginsburg, but we need not be in a rush to fill the seat before the election. Ramming a nominee through the Senate could complicate the reelection of critical GOP Senators, after all. If the battle is over before the election takes place, moreover, it also removes the impetus for some Republicans and conservatives to vote. The important thing is that we confirm a new and reliably conservative, constitutionalist Justice soon, meaning before any major cases involving a contested election are weighed by the Court. What that means to me is that we can start the process ASAP, but a vote in the Senate need not come until the middle of November, at the earliest.
In terms of the election itself, obviously this turn of events raises the stakes -- as if they needed to be raised any higher! In truth, though, I feel as though RBG's passing will energize Republicans and conservatives. It seems to me that progressives and Trump-haters were already energized -- not by Biden, of course, but by the opportunity to "get" Trump. Republicans and conservatives, however, are not united around Trump. Most are, but some are clearly tempted to sit out the election or to hold their noses and vote for Biden. This Supreme Court nomination battle should crystallize for them why, even if they don't always approve of Trump, we need a conservative majority, and hopefully an expanded conservative majority, on the Court -- and thus we need Trump to win! My gut tells me that these unforeseen developments will help bring some malingering conservatives, reluctant to do their duty and vote for DJT, "home" to the GOP. We shall see.
P.S. You must read this great article about the widespread nature of BLM protests and the frequency with which they have degenerated into violence. It really puts paid to the notion that BLM is pacific in its methods.