Friends, it's time to start contemplating not just whether Donald Trump will run again for President in 2024, but what the political landscape will look like by then. Among the most important related questions is: will any third parties emerge to challenge Dem-GOP dominance? I believe it's possible. The level of dissatisfaction with our political elite has never been higher. That provides opportunities for outsiders. As this article explains, however, since the 1850s the results achieved by third parties in federal elections have been meager. Could 2024 break the mold?
In other news, did you know that encouraging people not to get vaccinated is tantamount to "insurrection"? Makes sense. Just thinking impure thoughts is "insurrection", according to many leftists. I hope they've got A LOT of space in those reeducation camps!
This article asks the $64,000 question about the Dems' reconciliation bill: can they satisfy the whims of Manchin and Sinema AND preserve the support of progressives for the plan? Maybe not. Frankly, this article doesn't even begin to answer this all-important question, but at least it points us in the right direction.
You've probably heard the rumors that Nancy Pelosi is considering retiring immediately after her glorious $3.5 trillion expansion of "social spending" is passed. She denies it, of course. This article proposes that there could be upside for the Dems in such a plan. I'm not buying it. Holding the entire Democratic caucus together to vote for the bill will be mighty tough, and with Pelosi halfway out the door her leverage will crater. Whether the rumors are true or not I don't know, but I relish the Dems' confusion and frustration.
File this one under "progressive surrealism". An Oberlin student is offended that "cisgender" white men are permitted to do maintenance work in a designated "safe space" for women and transgender students. I agree wholeheartedly! Only transvestites should be allowed to repair critical infrastructure at Oberlin from now on. What could go wrong?
Finally, signs are accumulating that the economy faces real headwinds. Industrial production is declining, consumer sentiment is way down, and the backlog of container ships anchored outside some of our ports is downright bizarre. Now, the good news is that COVID cases and deaths are down again, but the media may not permit anyone to find this out. I mean, we can't let the American people breathe easily for once, can we? Anyway, the critical question is: what are the chances of a recession in the next 6 months? My view: the chances are high.