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Wednesday, November 30, 2022

Musk Besieged

 


Friends, having seeded the mainstream media with stories about how Twitter is collapsing as a company, and how the Twitter-verse is overrun by fascists and white supremacists, Twitter's Big Tech rivals, Google and Apple, may smell blood in the water and decide to axe Twitter once and for all -- from their app stores.  This would make it darn near impossible for many people to access Twitter, and, combined with a massive reduction in ad revenues from woke companies, could spell doom for Musk's latest venture, and for all semblance of free speech and pluralism in social media.  I tend to agree with this commentator that the stakes in Musk's impending battles with Google, Apple, and in all likelihood the U.S. federal government, are enormous and weighty.  After all, if the world's richest man can't carve out a place for free expression on the internet, what chance do you or I have?  Arguably, these questions are fundamental to the survival of our democracy -- much more fundamental than, say, who won or lost in the midterm elections.


https://spectator.org/apple-china-delete-twitter-apps-phone/

 

In other news, there's no reason to think that Governor Ron DeSantis will announce a presidential bid anytime soon, but he is issuing an autobiography, and the timing is darn suspicious.  It's almost like he's planning something big...

 

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/washington-secrets/ron-desantis-signals-2024-bid-with-new-book 

Monday, November 28, 2022

The Not-So-Good Book?

 


Friends, for the last, oh, two thousand years, you would generally struggle to find anyone in the West willing to condemn the Bible and/or spit directly in the face of God, but the 21st Century is a brave new world in which almost all established norms, and even some rules of nature, are being flouted by leftists hellbent on "transforming"...everything and everyone.  Case in point: the Left has become adroit at charging anyone who says something they don't like with "hate speech".  Remember, hate speech is speech that makes someone (who leftists give a damn about) feel bad.  Well, there's very little that we conservatives say and do, by this definition, that isn't HATEFUL to the core.  And that which is hateful, lest we forget, can be banned, criminalized, and punished.  That appears to be happening with the Bible itself in England, as you'll see here.  And this is just the thin edge of the wedge.  Much more is coming.  One wonders how Facebook, YouTube, and Twitter are currently handling invocations of the Bible to criticize homosexuality?


https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2022/11/28/uk-govt-prosecutors-argue-parts-bible-no-longer-appropriate-modern-society/

 

There's more bad news on the morals front: marijuana use continues to escalate among young people, which can come as no surprise, since the cultural elite has long since decided that cigarettes are icky, but pot is cool.  Personally, I say, if you're an adult, imbibe whatever you like -- but don't expect me to pat you on the back and give you a medal!  And be prepared for the negative consequences that your decisions entail, because you own those decisions and the aftereffects -- or at least you ought to.

 

https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/gallup-poll-cigarettes/2022/11/28/id/1098212/ 

Sunday, November 27, 2022

China on the Brink?

 


Friends, I'm not naive about the Chinese government's comprehensive apparatus for the suppression of dissent.  Ergo, the recent protests, even though their scale is unprecedented in recent decades, are unlikely to lead to regime change.  Nonetheless, China's CCP masters have been placed on notice.  Of course, it's high time that their corrupt, heartless tyranny faces a reckoning, but the causes of this unrest are simpler ansd more straightforward than any heady demand for "democracy" or "freedom".  Basically, China has been locking people up for no good reason except President Xi's paranoia about COVID, and ordinary folks are getting tired of being incarcerated as a public health measure.  COVID has disrupted daily life and economic activity in China much more than it has here, and that's saying something, as you will know!  Will the Chinese regime back off and embrace a more realistic COVID policy?  My guess would be yes.  The more interesting question is where a new "dialogue" is opening up between the CCP and the Chinese people that could lead to further reforms...or further unrest and destabilization.  And, as I've said a million times, a scared Chinese leadership is a dangerous Chinese leadership.  If I were Taiwan right now, I'd be sweating.


https://apnews.com/article/taiwan-health-fires-social-media-50d7515e5fae00f5054062209e9306cc?utm_source=homepage&utm_medium=TopNews&utm_campaign=position_03

 

It appears that Gavin Newsom is ruling out a presidential bid in 2024 and supports a second term for Biden.  Excellent!  The Dems are succumbing to collective insanity -- or should I say collective senility?  Either way, I like what I see.

 

https://www.axios.com/2022/11/26/gavin-newsom-2024-presidential-race-joe-biden 


Elon Musk is getting behind the potential candidacy of Ron DeSantis.  That's not overly surprising given DeSantis's drift to the right, but note that he, like so many "centrist" Americans, isn't rushing to endorse four more years for Trump.  DeSantis just isn't toxic like Trump is -- not yet.  You can bet your bottom dollar that the Dems are working on ways to change that.  Musk's statement also raises once again the intriguing question of how long DeSantis should, or can afford to, keep his powder dry for '24.  There are arguments to be made that he should get in the game ASAP.  There are also arguments to be made that it's in his interests to let Trump take all or most of the Dems' incoming fire for as long as possible.


https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/26/musk-says-he-will-support-desantis-if-florida-governor-runs-for-president.html

 

Remember how the Dems called for, and got, the prosecution of several Trumpers who defied subpoenas from the January 6th committee?  Well, their attitudes to Congressional subpoenas are changing already.  Now a subpoena might not mean much if it isn't "valid" or "legitimate".  Surprise, surprise.  This is one of many reasons why the hearings that House Republicans are planning may fall flat.

 

https://www.breitbart.com/clips/2022/11/27/schiff-will-consider-the-validity-of-gop-subpoena-before-i-comply/ 

Thursday, November 24, 2022

Be Thankful, Or Else!

 



Happy Thanksgiving, to one and all! May you enjoy wonderful fellowship with your loved ones today, and, if you have the time, please read this analysis of the first Thanksgiving in Massachusetts. At a time when the Founders are being relentlessly denigrated, it's good to arm ourselves with knowledge about what these men and women were really all about.


https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/11/24/mansour-out-of-small-beginnings-the-true-history-of-the-pilgrim-fathers-and-our-founding-myth/

Wednesday, November 23, 2022

The Axis of Empty Suits

 


Friends, the passionate history buffs among you might recognize Marshal Ion Antonescu, the fascist dictator of Romania during World War II.  He arises as a topic of discussion between me and Brian O'Neil during this week's Newsmaker Show, when we consider the minor powers that joined up with the Axis mainstays of Germany, Italy, and Japan.  Long story short: when your BFF is Ion Antonescu, you probably aren't in a position to conquer the world at will.  Plan accordingly!  


In addition to the Allies versus the Axis, Brian and I talk about President Reagan's encouragement of the "Contras" in the early 1980s, when nipping Latin American communism in the bud seemed advisable.  That's in our "This Day in History" segment.  When we get to current events, we hash over the limitations under which the new Republican House will operate, and the prospects for an epic clash between DJT and Governor Ron DeSantis.  Finally, Brian and I debate the merits of Sleepy Joe's giant checks to Ukraine and the Global South (in the form of climate crisis "reparations").  Hey, money grows on trees, so why not, am I right?


Don't miss out on all this broadcasting gold!


https://wlea.net/newsmaker-november-23-2022-dr-nick-waddy/

Sunday, November 20, 2022

Wake Up, Sleepy Joe! It's Your Birthday!!!

 


Friends, on behalf of everyone here at WaddyIsRight -- so, me -- HAPPY BIRTHDAY, JOE BIDEN!!!  You don't look a day over 130.  May you continue to function at an incredibly high level, delivering progressive change to the American people, whether they like it or not.  And please, please run for reelection in 2024.  The Dems would be lost without you!


In other news, I've penned my latest article, which is a red hot analysis of what the new Republican House is likely to accomplish in the next two years, and what will remain out of reach.  See what you think, and enjoy!


https://townhall.com/columnists/nicholaswaddy/2022/11/20/what-the-new-republican-house-can-and-cant-accomplish-n2616167

Saturday, November 19, 2022

Our Inevitable Fate: Lunar Exile?

 Trump needs private space companies to return to the moon. They don't want  to go.

 

Friends, kudos are due to NASA, which finally got its act together and launched its new Artemis rocket and its Orion capsule in the general direction of the moon.  We're told this presages a return of human footprints to that barren moonscape in the next few years -- probably footprints chosen for their exquisite racial diversity and maybe even their gender dysphoria -- followed by the construction of habitats on the moon and a lasting human presence there.  One has to wonder: will we "deplorables" end up exiled to the lunar surface -- a place so lifeless and remote that no wifi signal can reach it?  Don't scoff!  It's either that or turn us into Soylent Green, and most of our bitterest political enemies are vegans, so eating us simply isn't an option.


https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-63688229

 

In other news, here's a great, data-driven analysis of what went wrong and what went right in 2022.

 

https://www.city-journal.org/what-2022-midterms-exit-polling-tells-us 


Here is an exceptionally hostile, but occasionally insightful, look at what a Trump v. DeSantis matchup in 2024 could be like.  I agree that Ron DeSantis is no Jeb Bush, but on the other hand I think the hacks at Politico are way too hasty in writing off Trump as "weaker than he's ever been".  I guess they don't believe in reading polls over there.


https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/11/18/can-trump-take-out-another-florida-governor-00069163

 

It's official:Trump and his innumerable "crimes" will be the focus of a special prosecutor.  To me, this means that the DOJ wants some political cover from what comes next, but in essence it also means that they are deadly serious about nailing Trump to the wall.

 

https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/18/politics/justice-department-trump-special-counsel/index.html 


Returning to Twitter would be a great victory for DJT -- a form of vindication -- although it might also hasten the demise of Twitter and Trump's competing platform, "Truth Social".  Personally, I'd like both social media companies to live long and prosper, but we now have to accept that, for the Dems and the Left, killing Twitter and Truth Social are existential fights that may be, in the cosmic sense, more important even than who wins a (temporary) House majority.


https://www.newsmax.com/us/twitter-elon-musk-twitter/2022/11/19/id/1097159/

Thursday, November 17, 2022

The "Go Figure" Election

 


Friends, this article is a must-read if you want to get to the bottom of what happened in 2022.  In a nutshell, what happened was pretty weird, both when you consider how low President Biden's approval numbers are, and how much better Republicans did in the national popular vote for the House than in 2020.  In that year, we lost the popular vote for the House by three points and got about 212 seats.  This year we'll win the national popular vote by three or four points and gain, if we're lucky, just ten seats.  What gives?  When there's a swing to the Rs of +7, we expect to see BIG gains in seats, right?  The Senate ought to fall in line with the broad national trend and go Republican too.  Well, we all know how that conventional wisdom worked out.  Sean Trende begins the process of unpacking all these mixed signals and making sense of them.


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2022/11/17/what_happened_148483.html

 

In other news, Nancy Pelosi's reign of terror/error is over!!!  Maybe it wasn't a "big red wave", but it knocked at least one 82 year old lady over, and that's something...

 

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-63669581 

Wednesday, November 16, 2022

Beating a Dead Horse

 


Friends, you may be tired of reading/listening to my inspired analysis of the midterm election results, and my diagnosis of how those results will affect the American people, and especially two of those people, Donald Trump and Joe Biden, but the fact is that people keep asking me what I think...so I keep telling them!


A case in point: here's this week's Newsmaker Show, which delves into Election 2022, plus the woke onslaught that is bound to intensify now that the Left feels that it has been vindicated by the voters.


https://wlea.net/newsmaker-november-16-2022-dr-nick-waddy/

 

And here's my latest contribution to Sputnik News, which focuses on Trump's chances of reacquiring the presidency, now that he's officially announced his intention to run in 2024.

 

https://sputniknews.com/20221116/professor-trump-stands-a-good-chance-of-beating-biden-1104287142.html 


In other news, Mitch McConnell clinched the leadership of Senate Republicans, once again, in a vote that saw ten Senators defect to Rick Scott.  McConnell is thus an immovable force in American politics, like it or not, although, given that Republicans are at a distinct disadvantage in the Senate, his parliamentary skills may be the only chance the GOP has of slowing down the freight train that is President Biden's campaign to transform the judiciary.  Who knows, maybe McConnell can even win over Senators Manchin and Sinema and co-opt them in his efforts to stymie Chuck Schumer.  I hope so.  Hey, I'm trying to find a silver lining in McConnellismo, a force that seemingly has the GOP in thrall.


https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/senate/mcconnell-overcomes-leadership-challenge

 

Finally, there are times when one wonders what the use of voting for Republicans is.  Today we got a vivid demonstration of that truism when twelve GOP Senators supported a bill that would require all 50 states to recognize gay marriages as valid.  Not so long ago the Republican Party was outspoken in its advocacy of traditional marriage.  That ship has sailed.  Of course, for most establishment Democrats and Republicans, the distinction between a man and a woman is no longer clear anyway, so what's the difference if ze marries zim, or ze marries zer, right?  It's a brave new world, folks, and what you think of it doesn't mean a damn thing to our "betters" inside the Beltway...

 

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/11/16/112-senate-republicans-vote-with-democrats-for-far-left-respect-for-marriage-act/ 

Tuesday, November 15, 2022

Never (Enough) Trump?

 


Friends, today was a big, big day in terms of political news.  For one thing, Florida Senator Rick Scott decided to wage an uphill campaign to unseat Mitch McConnell as the Minority Leader in that august body.  I'm hoping Scott will have success, but, whether he does or doesn't, hopefully McConnell will learn a lesson about how he can't take for granted the support of his fellow Republicans.


https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/senate/rick-scott-launches-senate-leadership-bid-against-mitch-mcconnell

 

Meanwhile, House Republicans have chosen Kevin McCarthy as their candidate for Speaker.  That's hardly a surprise, but the even better news for McCarthy is that, according to Newsmax, Republicans have clinched a majority in the House, meaning that his aspirations just got a lot more achievable.  McCarthy won't have an easy time of it with such a razor-thin edge over the Dems, and with a number of his caucus members promising to test his patience with their RINO or MAGA tendencies, respectively.  Still, displacing Nancy Pelosi and the Dem leadership in the House is a very big deal.  It means Republicans are in a position to block many aspects of the Biden agenda -- if they can stand together long enough to do so...

 

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/11/15/house-republicans-nominate-kevin-mccarthy-to-be-speaker/ 


https://www.newsmax.com/politics/gop-house-majority/2022/11/15/id/1096454/

 

In even bigger news, Donald J. Trump -- heard of him? -- has announced his candidacy for the presidency, filing to run in 2024, as was almost universally anticipated.  Trump still leads in almost every poll of Republican preferences, but those leads seem to be shrinking, as Governor Ron DeSantis's star rises in the wake of his massive win over Charlie Crist last Tuesday.  The media is positively salivating at this golden opportunity to humiliate and defeat Trump...once more, but they and we would be foolish to underestimate him.  So, Trump is running.  Will DeSantis?  Will other Republicans?  Stay tuned!

 

https://www.newsmax.com/headline/donald-trump-2024-presidential/2022/11/14/id/1096352/ 


https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/3736546-desantis-brushes-off-trump-attacks-all-thats-just-noise/

Sunday, November 13, 2022

Falling Off the Generational Cliff

 


Friends, as we dissect the exit polls and election results, one thing stands out that I didn't mention in my initial analysis: young people voted overwhelmingly for Democrats.  Now, they did so in 2020 as well, and they've leaned blue for a long time, but it's a matter of degree, and we really got hammered with the under-30s this cycle, as you'll see in the article below.  There are several reasons that are particular to this year, like the saliency of the abortion issue, and the Democrats' shameless efforts to buy off younger voters with a "student loan forgiveness" plan that was always unconstitutional, irrresponsible, and disingenuous in the sense that the Dems knew it was unlikely it would ever be implemented, but felt like making the gesture would earn them some political capital anyway.  And it did.  More worringly, we have to consider the possibility -- actually, the strong probability -- that comprehensive leftist efforts to brainwash the young, in schools, in the popular culture, and beyond, are working.  At many colleges, the loudest voices for censorship, and the most extreme advocates of wokeness, are the students, not the professors or the administrators.  Many of these young people are not just left-leaning -- they're Marxist firebrands!  Even young people who seem politically apathetic are often guided by a worldview that reeks of progressivism, with undertones of entitlement, socialism, systemic racism/sexism, adulation of "alternative lifestyles", eco-madness, and other blights.  Moreover, we have to ask ourselves: why wouldn't young people be overwlemingly progressive?  I mean, what have conservatives done in the last 50 years to try to win over young people, and to prevent the capture of the rising generation by our ideological enemies?  Seems to me that, more often than not, we cede the young to the Left, just like we throw up our hands with racial minorities too.  Spoiler alert: abandoning the next generation to a harrowing leftist fate is no way to save civilization from the perils of neo-Marxism.  We need to wake up and explain to the young why the Dems are in no way, shape, or form their friends.  The Dems are spending the next generation's money on schemes that only benefit rich Democratic Party donors.  The Dems actively discriminate against many young people who don't fall in the "protected categories" that leftists so prize.  The Dems are making young people, and all people, unsafe, by taking the side of criminals and undermining law enforcement.  The Dems are, by their economic and fiscal mismanagement, sentencing many young people to underemployment, unemployment, and hopelessness.  The Dems are even steadily curtailing the rights of young people -- to learn in person and unmasked, to own a gun, to speak their minds on social media, etc.  Seems to me we can make a strong case that the under-30s ought to be drfiting right.  So let's make it!


https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/12/politics/young-voters-democrats-midterm-elections/index.html

Saturday, November 12, 2022

Does This Horse Need a New Jockey?

 


Friends, we won't know who the two parties will pick to represent them in the 2024 presidential election for a long time, but we may know very soon whether one titan of American politics will retain his primacy.  I speak of Mitch McConnell, who expects to be reelected Minority Leader in the Senate -- or, if all goes very well, Majority Leader -- in a matter of days.  A growing number of Republican Senators, however, are trying to apply the brakes and give some time for other candidates for the top job to emerge.  As we all know, Mitch is a dexterous political magician, so it would be surprising if anyone could outmaneuver him, but you never know.  In my humble opinion, the abortive red wave of '22 can be laid, at least in part, at the feet of establishment types like McConnell, who failed to develop a strategy for victory, and who simultaneously dragged the party down with their own unpopularity.  Could it be time to try someone new?  It could!  Will it happen?  Probably not.  This country seems to love doubling down on the broken hip cadre of ossified leadership.  The older, the better -- that's America's motto.  Why, even the young are getting in on the game.  Bernie Sanders is their hero, after all...


https://thefederalist.com/2022/11/11/after-epic-failure-growing-chorus-of-senators-signals-its-time-for-mcconnell-to-go/

 

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/11/12/scheduled-vote-mitch-mcconnell-leader-remains-despite-gop-opposition/ 


Meanwhile, is there some movement in the Trump v. DeSantis presidential slugfest?  Possibly, according to this poll.  Maybe Trump's mean tweets directed at the Florida Governor aren't just about DJT's paranoia and egomania.  Maybe Trump is right to fear a strong challenge from a rising conservative star like DeSantis...  

 

A pertinent question: if this battle royal truly comes to pass, will the media be "all in" for DeSantis, who they loathe slightly less than Trump, or will they promote Trump, out of a (foolhardy?) expectation that he would be easy to beat?  Your guess is as good as mine.


https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/11/12/poll-trump-2024-support-remains-consistent-desantis-rise/

Thursday, November 10, 2022

My Four Cents

 


Friends, I'm always thinking great thoughts, as you know, but seldom are you blessed with two of my classic ruminations -- nay, intellectual masterworks! -- in one day.  Today is such a day.  First, there's this week's Newsmaker Show, which focuses exclusively on the midterm election results and their ramifications.


https://wlea.net/newsmaker-november-10-2022-dr-nick-waddy/

 

Next, there's my latest article, which does the same thing, but a little more systematically.  Read and be amazed!  In a nutshell, I view this election as more of a draw than a win for either side.  Maybe you agree?

 

How the Red Wave Became a Pinkish Wavelet


Given that the midterms failed to generate the unambiguous Republican triumph that many conservatives expected, it is natural that we ask the question: why not? There appear to be numerous reasons, with the important caveat that Republicans did not fare so badly, and even our failures may have silver linings that will improve our prospects in 2024 – an election that will be far more determinative of our country's fate.

One number leaps out of the exit poll published by NBC News: 27% of voters defined abortion as the most important factor in their vote, and, by a modest margin, these voters favored the Democrats. By contrast, 31% cited inflation as their top concern, and only 11% cited crime. That is a shocking result, based on prior polling and Republicans' expectations. From this perspective, it appears that the Dems' big bet on abortion in their ad spending was not in vain, and the GOP effort to make crime a centerpiece of the 2022 election fell somewhat flat. Again, the pre-election polling mostly suggested it was the Dems who were barking up the wrong tree, but electoral realities do not always take shape in the way pollsters predict.

The Democrats and their media allies work 24/7 to make Republicans seem, not just “extreme”, but dangerous, unbalanced, seditious, and criminally violent. Based on exit polling, 68% of the voters believe that American democracy is “threatened”, but, on the other hand, those who said it is did not vote appreciably differently than those who said it is “secure”. In addition, overall the voters do not regard the Republicans as any more “extreme” than the Democrats (52% versus 51%, respectively). There is no evidence, therefore, that Democratic handwringing about January 6th moved a great many swing voters to choose to vote blue.

On the other hand, we cannot discount the possibility that, in a year in which Democrats had little else to enthuse them, dark fantasies about insurrections, fascism, and back-alley abortions may have driven many Democrats to the polls who would not otherwise have shown up. Elections are largely about rallying the base, and, since Biden is clearly incapable of doing so, the Democrats had to fall back on pure, blinding hatred of their political enemies. It appears to have worked.

Was Trump a major factor in 2022? He played an outsized role in helping Republicans to choose some of their most important candidates, and some of those candidates were demonstrably flawed. On the other hand, Republican underperformance was very broad-based and was observable in the many races in which Trump had little or no role. It is also worth observing that the 58% of voters who view Trump unfavorably is not appreciably higher than the 56% who feel the same way about President Biden. 47% of voters said Biden was not a factor in their decision. 54% said the same about Trump. It would be silly, therefore, to view the 2022 election as fundamentally yet another referendum on Donald Trump.

Of course, one thing an exit poll cannot capture is the profile of who did not vote, and why. Republicans, in the wake of these disappointing results, have to ask themselves whether their constant fretting about election integrity and outright fraud may have convinced a considerable number of like-minded Americans to give up on electoral politics, because they view it as futile and rigged. These sentiments are strong among Republicans and conservatives, and they represent a powerful threat to GOP prospects in 2024 and beyond.

To the extent that concerns about election integrity are legitimate, on the other hand, Republicans need to demonstrate progress – as they have at the state and local level – in improving the system, reducing opportunities for fraud, and catching and punishing fraudsters. By doing so, they can reassure Republican voters that, when they cast their ballots, their votes will be recorded, and they will not be submerged in a flood tide of phony ballots.

Whatever caused Republican underperformance in 2022, the fact is that Republicans won may important matchups. Ron DeSantis's political star continues to rise, and Republicans will almost certainly control the House, meaning that they can block the Biden Administration's legislative and budgetary agenda and hold the Democrats accountable by increasing the scrutiny on their misdeeds. Control of the Senate is still pending, but if the GOP can eke out a majority it will be much harder for the Dems to claim momentum coming out of the midterms – and, more importantly, Biden's transformation of the judiciary will move at a crawl, if it moves at all.

The best news for Republicans is that the Democrats' relief, verging on exaltation, about the 2022 results means that their great albatross, Joe Biden, is feeling more confident than ever that his party needs his singular leadership qualities in 2024 and beyond. This almost certainly presages a long battle in the Democratic Party to decide on their nominee in 2024, and to determine whether the party is currently too progressive, not progressive enough, or about right. The GOP can take comfort in the fact that the standard-bearer for the Democrats in 2024 may well be a fumbling octogenarian, or he/she/ze may end up being someone far to the left of Biden on many issues, and thus unelectable.

On the other hand, Republicans must heed their own warning signs. Even before the 2022 election was finished, Donald Trump had begun to direct criticism at Ron DeSantis, who he understandably perceives as a potential rival. That Trump intends to run again appears obvious. That many Republicans, especially in the leadership of the party, have grown weary of Trump and fear that he could lead them to abject defeat in 2024 is equally obvious. Whether DeSantis, or someone else, can best Trump in the primaries, however, is doubtful, given the immense leads that Trump has in virtually every poll of Republicans' preferences.

Whoever emerges as the GOP nominee in 2024, there is a strong possibility that they will be scarred by a long, vicious internecine battle that may damage the party fundamentally. Tens of millions of Republican voters are loyal and passionate Trumpers – and whether they would continue to vote in support of a party that spurned their idol is the $64,000 question that Republican Party leaders, and potential candidates like Ron DeSantis, now have to weigh. In other words, Republicans and conservatives need to ask themselves: can Trump win in 2024? And, if the answer is no, then the next question has to be: can anyone else on the Republican side win, absent Trump's blessing and enthusiastic support?

In the end, the results and ramifications of the 2022 election are mixed and ambiguous, and portend opportunities and challenges for both sides. As Churchill once quipped, having been informed of his stunning defeat in the 1945 parliamentary election as he emerged from his bath, “That's democracy... Hand me my towel.”


Dr. Nicholas L. Waddy is an Associate Professor of History at SUNY Alfred and blogs at: www.waddyisright.com. He appears on the Newsmaker Show on WLEA 1480/106.9.

 

You can also see it at World Net Daily:

 

https://www.wnd.com/2022/11/gops-awol-red-wave-implications-2024/ 

Wednesday, November 9, 2022

Keep Calm and Soldier On

 



Friends, I'll be analyzing the midterm results in a lot more detail in the next day or two, but suffice it to say that I still see a very viable path to Republican control of the House and the Senate, and those were our two main goals in this cycle.  Granted, the "red wave" fizzled, and we're not seeing America turn to the right with the alacrity that we wanted and expected.  Be that as it may, we should still be in a position to frustrate Biden's agenda over the next two years.  What's more, there's a very important silver lining to the Democrats' perception that they were the "winners" last night.  Their self-satisfaction will take the wind out of the sails of the movement to dump Biden in 2024.  The best thing that could happen to the Republican Party is a Biden candidacy in 2024.  So I say: pat yourself on the back Sleepy Joe.  You're doing a bang-up job!


While you're ruminating on the midterm results, don't neglect the exit polls, which include a lot of fascinating data:


https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022-elections/exit-polls?icid=election_nav


While I resolutely reject the idea that Republicans should despair over last night's results, the fact is that there are warning signs for 2024, including Donald Trump's enduring lack of popularity with many key demographics, as well as what seems to be a budding feud between Trump and the midterms' biggest Republican victor, Ron DeSantis.  Trump is trying to warn off DeSantis from running.  Will it work?  We may not know for a long while.  If I were DeSantis, I'd wait to see how the Department of Justice is going to play things...


https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/11/08/trump-warns-ron-desantis-about-running-2024-could-hurt-himself-very-badly/

Sunday, November 6, 2022

Trouble in Paradise?

 


Friends, I'm no political genius, but it seems to me that something mighty important may have happened in the last couple of days: friction began to develop between the two men most likely to be the Republican nominee for president in 2024.  (That would be Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis, in case you've been living under a rock.)  DeSantis was absent from Trump's big rally in Miami, and the day before the rally Trump coined a new nickname for the Florida Governor: "Ron DeSanctimonious", which I guess is kinda witty, although I hadn't noticed that DeSantis was any more sanctimonious than a typical politician.  Anyway, that's neither here nor there.  I've always assumed that, if Trump ran, DeSantis would stay on the sidelines and hope to become Trump's running mate.  Instead, DeSantis may be snubbing Trump, and Trump may be drawing the logical conclusion that DeSantis plans to run against him, not with him.  If you want my two cents, this is bad news.  The Republican Party needs to be united in 2024 to win, and a Trump vs. DeSantis matchup, assuming Trump remains "at liberty" rather than in the slammer, will almost inevitably result in a Trump win, a DeSantis loss, and then an embittered DeSantis and quite a few frustrated, disappointed Republicans.  My hope, therefore, is that, when Trump declares his candidacy, as he almost certainly will, we Republicans will unite behind him.  I have grave misgivings about another Trump candidacy, but I'm not naive enough to think that there's any Republican could beat Trump in the primaries, or who has Trump's visceral connection to the average Republican voter.  In 2024, therefore, I suspect it will be "Trump or bust" for the GOP, as it was in 2016 and 2020.  Don't agree?  Hey, prove me wrong.  


https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/11/05/donald-trump-nicknames-gov-desantis-ron-desanctimonious/

 

https://www.newsmax.com/newsmax-tv/donald-trump-save-america-rally/2022/11/06/id/1095102/ 


Finally, the Left's calls for Biden to step aside and announce that he won't run for reelection have already started -- in anticipation of a drubbing on Tuesday -- but you know this chorus will grow louder in the days and weeks ahead.  How unanimous will it be among Democrats, and how inclined will Biden be to listen?  We shall see.


https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/3721952-bidens-legacy-will-be-stronger-if-he-doesnt-run-again/

Friday, November 4, 2022

The Third Time's the Charm?

 


Friends, few have ever accused Donald Trump of ambiguity, and his statements in recent months have made it increasingly clear that he intends to run for president again in 2024.  Now there are indications that his announcement could be imminent.  This will make the post-election period downright fascinating for political junkies.  Trump will be gearing up to run, while Democrats will be (we presume) wringing their hands and wondering whether it's time to send Sleepy Joe packing.  New potential Democratic candidates will come out of the woodwork to suggest that only they can save the Democratic Party and America from a fate worse than death: another four years of President Trump.  It's going to be a wild ride!  That much I can guarantee.


https://www.newsmax.com/newsfront/donald-trump-2024-newsmax/2022/11/04/id/1094899/

 

As you know, corporate America abhors "misinformation", hate speech, and divisive rhetoric.  That's why they have no problem advertising all day long on MSNBC and CNN, where such things are unheard of, but get decidedly queasy when they consider running ads on Fox, or, now that Elon Musk has begun his reign of terror, on Twitter.  This was predictable.  The Left cannot abide and cannot allow anything like free speech to prevail on Twitter, or in social media in general.  Therefore, either Musk will have to be intimidated into backing off on his opposition to censorship, or leftists and their corporate allies will have to boycott Twitter and drive it into the ground financially.  It will be intriguing to see how Musk tackles these challenges.  There are no easy answers, and he stands an excellent chance of disappointing and alienating both the left and the right, as I've said before.  Good luck, Elon!


https://www.breitbart.com/tech/2022/11/04/major-companies-pile-on-twitter-advertising-pause-following-elon-musks-takeover/

Thursday, November 3, 2022

Words Have Meaning

 


Friends, we've been hearing a lot from our Democratic friends lately about "saving democracy", but sometimes I wonder (and I bet you do too) whether these people have the faintest idea what democracy is...  My latest article represents my "closing argument" to the American people as we head into the midterms.  I make the case that the Dems are, in a very fundamental sense, undemocratic.  Of course, I may be preaching to the choir here, but that won't stop me!  See what you think.


Democrats Are Failing The Democracy Test


As Americans head to the polls this November, it's the Democrats who are continually reminding us of the virtues of American democracy, and how much that democracy is under threat from “ultra MAGA Republicans”, who so routinely foment “insurrections”, deny people their right to vote, contest election results, and exult in hitting their enemies over the heads with hammers. In other words, Democrats' closing argument in the 2022 election asks – actually, it insists – that Americans assume that the mild-mannered Republicans they encounter in daily life are actually bloodthirsty fascists.

Good luck with that!

The irony here is that it is the Democrats themselves who are attacking the foundations of democracy in so many ways, from their contempt for the “legitimacy” of the Supreme Court, to their advocacy and practice of federal government-Big Tech collusion to censor dissenting viewpoints, to their suppression of accurate, but critical, reporting on prominent Democrats, to their blithe acceptance of Mark Zuckerberg's unprecedented financial and logistical intervention in the conduct of the 2020 election. And we haven't even mentioned the rank absurdity of the Democrats' central argument this election season: that only by ruling out of bounds the opposition party, and turning America into a one-party state, can we save “democracy” – as though pluralism and democracy had nothing to do with one another!

I wish to draw attention, however, to another gallingly undemocratic feature of the Democrats' thinking. It's worth reminding ourselves, for starters, what democracy is. Democracy is a system in which the people rule, in our case by electing leaders who represent us and who, broadly speaking, run the country according to the people's wishes.

So what, we should ask ourselves, do the people want?

The polls tell us, regularly and unambiguously, that what the people want right now is leaders who share their priorities and goals. At present, the American people rate inflation, crime, and border security as top-tier issues. You would expect, in a democracy, that current and aspiring political leaders would take the people's views and concerns seriously. They would, among other things, talk about these hot-button issues and suggest ways to address the people's concerns.

But not if they're Democrats! Oh no. Democrats have decided that they know better than the American people, and that the priorities, goals, and even the darkest fantasies beloved of progressives ought to be topping the electoral agenda this fall.

Democrats don't want to talk about inflation, crime, and the border. In fact, they become irritable and defensive when those issues are raised. Instead of addressing them head on and taking the concerns of the voters seriously, Democrats go back to their official playbook for 2022: they harp on the evils of Trumpism, January 6th, “ultra MAGA” this and that, and abortion rights, which we are told are in great peril, especially in states like California and New York, even though everyone knows this is utter nonsense. Those deep blue states would sooner make Donald Trump their king than curtail abortion rights.

The point is that Democrats are utterly fixated on the themes that have been drilled into them by the news editors at CNN, MSNBC, and the New York Times. They have become so obsessed with the villainy of Republicans that they believe that that issue alone can and will propel them to victory in 2022. They don't care about the state of the economy, or the rise in crime, or the chaos at the border, because they haven't been told to care about these things – and because to care about them would mean dealing with the elephant in the room: the quality (or lack thereof) of Democratic governance over the last two years, symbolized by the bumbling inadequacy of the President-who-shall-not-be-named, Joe Biden.

Who would have thought that, in a democracy, a political party would have the temerity to run an election campaign with utter disregard for what the voters think and feel? And yet that is exactly what the Democrats are doing.

This November, at least in a sense, as Biden and the Democrats love to remind us, “democracy is on the ballot”, just not in the way they think it is. The question Americans should be asking themselves is: going forward, will this country be ruled by the people, or will it be ruled instead by an elite of self-appointed “experts” and paragons of wokeness who talk down to us, and mock and intimidate us when we dare to dissent?

It's your country, my fellow Americans, so it's you who will decide the answer.


Dr. Nicholas L. Waddy is an Associate Professor of History at SUNY Alfred and blogs at: www.waddyisright.com. He appears on the Newsmaker Show on WLEA 1480/106.9.

 

And here it is at American Greatness:

 

https://amgreatness.com/2022/11/05/democrats-are-failing-the-democracy-test/ 

 

***

 

In other news, but relatedly, here's an instance of leftist befuddlement over the fact that the voters seem stubbornly to be seeking answers to the problems of inflation and crime, when every progressive knows that FASCISM is the only issue that matters.

 

https://www.nationalreview.com/news/hosts-of-the-view-so-confused-by-voter-concerns-with-crime-inflation/ 


Finally, if you're like me you're very encouraged by the late-breaking polls that show that the GOP is in the driver's seat in the midterms.  And here's confirmation that the Dems know that they're swimming against the tide.  Donna Brazile is telling them to "forget the polls"!  Ha!  Hey, don't shoot the messenger, Donna.


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/opinion/forget-the-polls-this-election-is-far-from-over-for-democrats/ar-AA13Gr9h

Wednesday, November 2, 2022

The Pitfalls of Prognostication

 



Friends, this week's Newsmaker Show covers a lot of ground, as they all do.  We consider, for instance, Truman's surprising victory over Dewey in 1948, and what it suggests about the reliability of polls and election forecasts.  We also explore a curious incident in the Soviet war in Afghanistan that killed, amazingly, 3,000 Red Army soldiers.  Naturally, though, we are overwhelmingly focused on current events, since there are so many events currently eventuating.  We look at the state of the midterms, just one week away from electoral D-Day.  We ask whether Elon Musk's stewardship of Twitter will work out well, for Musk, for Twitter, and most importantly for America.  We also look at China's slide into ossified one-man rule, and what it portends for the 21st century, writ large.  All this...and more!  You'd be bonkers not to tune in.


https://wlea.net/newsmaker-november-2-2022-dr-nick-waddy/


***


In other news, homeschooling continues to grow as a movement and a phenomenon, but it still impacts only around 3% of U.S. K-12 students.  There's a lot of room there for more expansion, in other words.  One wonders when the teachers' unions will swing into action to nip homeschooling in the bud -- and when the woke industrial complex will make demonizing homeschooling parents a top priority...


https://www.realclearinvestigations.com/articles/2022/11/02/as_states_let_home_schools_be_growing_numbers_are_just_fine_with_that_862241.html


Social media censorship is troubling enough, in itself, but when the federal government administers those censorship campaigns -- in the interests of the ruling class -- Americans should be very troubled.  We're learning more and more about how this Big Tech-Biden Administration collusion works.  Presumably, when Republicans take control of Congress, we'll truly get to the bottom of it.  Luckily, social media companies seem to be rethinking their shameless advocacy of wokeness and progressivism.  They're clearly afraid of a backlash.  They should be, too!


https://www.newsmax.com/politics/censor-information-facebook/2022/11/01/id/1094446/