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Wednesday, May 29, 2024

The Sure Thing

 


Friends, you know the Dems are in a tight spot whenever they start babbling about Michelle Obama and what a dreamboat of a presidential candidate she'd be.  Ha!  That'll be the day.  Dem doubts and wild speculation are two of the themes that Brian and I cover on this week's Nerwsmaker Show.  We also hit the precedents for censorship in American history, the Libertarian Party and its likely impact on the 2024 presidential race, whether the Dems need a fundamental change of strategy to be competitive in this cycle, and the immigration crisis in the U.K. and the declining fortunes of the Conservative Party.


Some would say it's a good show.  Believe you me, those people are underselling it!!!


https://wlea.net/newsmaker-may-29-2024-dr-nick-waddy/

 

***

 

In other news, jury deliberations are underway in Trump's hush money trial -- or should I say his "business records" trial, because that's what's really at issue.  How will twelve not-so-average New Yorkers decide?  Your guess is as good as mine.

 

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c033m2qdm0no 


And check out this article, which chronicles the retreat of most advertizers from wokeness.  I can see where it's coming from.  Yes, corporate America still leans left, as it has for the last several years, but it is much less demonstrably leftist than it was under Trump.  You can see this in the behavior of social media companies, too.  Not so long ago they had actually banned Trump, and many Trumpers, and were proud of the fact.  Now they're striving to be more even-handed and less controversial.  So chalk all this up as a minor right-wing victory in the culture wars.  We're getting corporate suits to think twice about wearing their neo-Marxism on their Brooks Brothers sleeves -- and that's a good thing.


https://www.vox.com/culture/351890/your-favorite-brand-no-longer-cares-about-being-woke

Tuesday, May 28, 2024

Abandon Ship! Captain Pike Has the Conn

 


Friends, it's amusing to see the levels of terror steadily rising on the Left.  Or, it would be amusing if it wasn't also so terrifying.  After all, a cornered animal is a dangerous one.  I'm referring, of course, to the growing realization among Democrats that their man, Sleepy Joe, is behind -- to Beelzebub, no less!  This article doesn't mention the possibility of jettisoning old Joe, but read between the lines and it's what every Dem is thinking to himself.


https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/28/democrats-freakout-over-biden-00160047

 

In other news, did you know that criminals aren't criminals anymore?  Oh no.  The new, more P.C. term for those who murder, rape, steal, and jaywalk is..."justice-impacted individuals".  What a great turn of phrase, huh?  Even the left-wing Chicago Tribune knows this Orwellian verbiage won't go over well.

 

https://www.yahoo.com/news/editorial-justice-impacted-individual-doublethink-100000509.html 


Finally, while you may have heard nothing about it, there's an election coming up...in South Africa!  The African National Congress, Nelson Mandela's party, has been in firm control of the country since 1994, but, as South Africa's problems pile up, the black population's adoration of the "freedom fighters" in the ANC has waned.  If the polls are right, the ruling party is about to see its majority eliminated, forcing it, in all probability, to form a coalition in order to govern.  Let's hope that means the country will get slightly more competent, slightly less corrupt, leadership going forward.  There's always hope!


https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crgg2neyr65o

 

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/south-africas-anc-support-around-42-days-before-election-poll-finds-2024-05-28/ 

Monday, May 27, 2024

Bang, Bang -- You're Broke!

 


Friends, believe it or not, it's not politicians who are bringing common sense Americans to their knees, or moviemakers, or pop stars, or schoolteachers, or bureaucrats.  No, Enemy Number One isn't any of these.  It's...lawyers.  Most of the time, it isn't the threat of force or jail that humbles average people.  It's the threat of legal action, including the possibility of being sued.  "Liability" is the buzzword that every businessman fears most, and ordinary citizens aren't far behind, and for good reason, as a simple lawsuit can do more than ruin your day -- it can ruin your life.  The Left, of course, has picked up on this fact, and they've won over the vast majority of trial lawyers to their side, and increasingly they're enlisting them in a no-holds-barred offensive against the Constitution (as written), democratic pluralism, free speech, gun ownership, the internal combustion engine, masculinity -- you name it!  They're slowly winning the battle, too.  Time and again, conservatives raise the white flag before the fight is even joined.  That's because most of us would rather submit to the dictates of wokeness than risk our lives and livelihoods in mortal judicial combat.  And who can blame us?


A case in point is the recent lawsuit lodged against Meta, Activision, and Daniel Defense by the families of those killed by Salvador Ramos at Ross Elementary School in Uvalde, Texas.  I wrote about this on Saturday, but I've turned that blogpost into a full-blown article, as you'll see below.  Enjoy, and let me know your thoughts...


The Blame Game in Uvalde Has Gotten Out of Hand


Before 2022, few people had heard of Uvalde, Texas. To those who had, it was best known as the birthplace of singer and actress Dale Evans, as well as Hollywood heartthrob Matthew McConaughey.

Now, it's also the birthplace of a massive lawsuit against Meta, the parent company of Facebook; Activision, a video game producer; and a gunmaker, Daniel Defense. You can guess the reason.

A Uvalde resident and former student, aged 18, shot up Robb Elementary School and killed 19 children and 2 teachers there on May 24th, 2022. The lawsuit alleges that Meta, Activision, and Daniel Defense have been "grooming...socially vulnerable" boys and young men by promoting first-person shooter video games and gun ownership, and these companies are therefore legally and financially responsible for the carnage at Robb Elementary.

Salvador Ramos, the perpetrator, was indeed a frequent user of Instagram, which is owned by Meta. He played "Call of Duty", which is a combat-based video game released by Activision and enjoyed by millions of people all over the world. He also bought a rifle, a DDM4V7, from Daniel Defense mere minutes after his 18th birthday. None of this is in dispute.

Now, reasonable people may question why so many young people (and not-so-young people) are obsessed with social media. They may question why so many boys and young men are spending so much time shooting fake people in virtual combat. They may also question the degree of access to firearms that ordinary citizens, especially between the ages of 18 and 21, should have.

Nevertheless, the fact of the matter is that using social media, playing video games, and owning guns are all completely legal, acceptable, and even normal activities for American adults. Neither separately nor in combination do they routinely add up to tragedy and bloodshed. This lawsuit is therefore riddled with logical and legal fallacies, and it ought therefore to be dismissed out of hand.

First off, why not sue Ramos himself, or his parents, who are, quite obviously, much more directly responsible for this tragedy than Meta, Activision, or Daniel Defense?

The question answers itself: Ramos died at the scene, and no big cash payout can be had from his estate, or from his penniless family members.

Second, why should the deaths of 21 people, however horrific and avoidable, become a pretext for taking away the rights of hundreds of millions of Americans who bear no responsibility for the actions of Salvador Ramos? And, if taking away our rights is not the object of the lawsuit, how would the transfer of millions of dollars to the victims' families honor those victims or atone for their deaths?

One of the most odious features of modern American society is our monetization and commodification of suffering and victimhood. We put on a pedestal almost anyone who can make a case that they are aggrieved, and we shower the disadvantaged and downtrodden with preferments, praise, and payoffs. It's frankly disgusting, and, when it's done on the behalf of those who have died, it debases their memory. Indeed, it turns them and their legacy into a means to an end, and the end in sight is almost always...money. It's stomach-turning, if we're to be honest.

Now, it's extremely unlikely that any of these companies will ever pay a cent because of these lawsuits, and nor should they, but, even if they did, how would this serve the greater good? Does anyone think that violent video games, or TV shows, or movies, or songs, are going to disappear? Does anyone think that "AR-15 style" guns (whatever those are!) will wink out of existence because a bunch of trial lawyers start keening about it? Heck, no!

At most, the Uvalde victims' relatives (and their stable of lawyers) will get rich because of these lawsuits, and the companies in question may add little disclaimers to their products: "WARNING: Shooting actual people, as opposed to avatars, may violate our community standards." Otherwise, Americans' fascination with, and unhealthy proclivity for, violence will continue.

If you ask me, the true causes of incidents like the shooting in Uvalde aren't social media applications, or video games, or guns. What's really behind the phenomenon of mass shootings is human frailty and pure evil, exacerbated by atrocious parenting and a culture of entitlement and egoism.

This boy, Salvador Ramos, felt that nothing in the world mattered except his suffering, and he decided to take it out on anyone and everyone, without any concern for their lives and dignity. He's an extreme case, but a lot of modern Americans have similar attitudes about themselves, society, and other people. They feel aggrieved, and they want payback, no matter what the short- or long-term consequences may be. It's best understood as a form of vengeful narcissism run amok.

In that sense, I'm sorry to say, Salvador Ramos and the relatives of his victims may have something in common: a very modern and increasingly universal fixation on their own pain, and an indifference to the interests and views of others, and to the good of society as a whole.

What happened at Ross Elementary was appalling and unacceptable, but blaming social media companies, video game producers, and gun manufacturers makes no sense. In fact, going after these companies is part of the problem, because it deflects responsibility from Salvador Ramos, the man who pulled the trigger, and who was therefore the genuine perpetrator and evildoer.

Is that really the message that these Uvalde families want to send? That Ramos was a bit player, and, as long as Meta, Activision, and Daniel Defense pay up, justice has been done? I should hope not!


Dr. Nicholas L. Waddy is an Associate Professor of History at SUNY Alfred and blogs at: www.waddyisright.com. He appears on the Newsmaker Show on WLEA 1480/106.9.

 

And here it is at World Net Daily:


https://www.wnd.com/2024/05/uvalde-monetization-suffering-victimhood/

 

***


In other news, the verdict in DJT's hush money trial is probably going to be forthcoming this week, and, while no one knows what the political consequences will be, the legal stakes are neatly summarized by this article.  Bottom line: Trump isn't likely to go to prison, but that was never the point anyway.  Dems want to turn Trump into a felon, because they assume that will be a political game-changer.  They may be delusional, of course.  It wouldn't be the first time!


https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crgg4kv0682o

 

You may have heard that the Libertarians were not especially hospitable to DJT or RFK, Jr., both of whom spoke at their recent convention.  That's neither here nor there, but it turns out that the Libertarians have nominated a presidential candidate: Chase Oliver.  Does that matter?  Heck, yeah, it matters!  The election in November is likely to be close, especially in the key states, and the presence of candidates in the race besides Trump and Biden is very consequential, because they don't have to pull all that many votes to change the outcome.  Those who vote Libertarian tend to be right-leaning, so Trump will be particularly threatened by Mr. Oliver.  Buckle up, because our five-way race is about to become a six-way race!

 

 https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/26/libertarians-reject-trump-rfk-chase-oliver-presidential-nominee-00160040

Saturday, May 25, 2024

Happy Trails No More

 


Friends, I had no idea that Uvalde, Texas was the birthplace of Dale Evans.  How about that?  It's also now the birthplace of a massive class action lawsuit against Meta, the parent company of Facebook; Activision, a video game producer; and a gunmaker, Daniel Defense.  You can guess the reason.  A Uvalde resident and former student, aged 18, shot up Robb Elementary School and killed 19 children and 2 teachers there in 2022.  The lawsuit alleges that Meta, Activsion, and Daniel Defense have been "grooming...socially vulnerable" boys and young men by promoting first-person shooter video games and gun ownership.  Salvador Ramos, the perpetrator, was indeed a fan of "Call of Duty", which is an Activision game played by millions of people all over the world.  Now, reasonable people may question why so many boys and young men are spending so much time shooting fake people in virtual combat, but the fact of the matter is that this lawsuit is riddled with flaws.  First off, why not sue Ramos himself, or his parents, who are, quite obviously, much more directly responsible for this tragedy than Meta, Activision, or Daniel Defense?  The question rather answers itself: no big cash payout can be had from a convict or his penniless family members.  Second, if you ask me, one of the most odious features of modern American society is our monetization and commodification of suffering and victimhood.  We put on a pedestal almost anyone who can make a case that they're aggrieved -- and few of us can't make that case these days -- and we shower the "disadvantaged" and downtrodden with preferments, praise, and payouts.  It's disgusting, and, when it's done on the behalf of those who have died, it debases their memory to no end.  Indeed, it turns them and their legacy into a means to an end, and the end in sight is almost always...money.  It makes my stomach turn.  Frankly, it's extremely unlikely that any of these companies will ever pay a cent because of these lawsuits, and nor should they, but even if they did how would this serve the greater good?  Does anyone think that violent video games, or TV shows, or movies, or songs, are going to disappear?  Does anyone think "AR-15 style" guns (whatever those are!) will wink out of existence because a bunch of trial lawyers start keening about it?  Heck no!  At most, the Uvalde victims' relatives will get rich (if they aren't already, given the sympathy they've generated), and the companies in question will add little disclaimers to their products: "WARNING: Shooting actual people, as opposed to avatars, may be ill-advised."  If you ask me -- and you didn't, but bear with me -- the true cause of incidents like the shooting in Uvalde isn't social media applications, or video games, or even guns.  It's human frailty, exacerbated by atrocious parenting and a culture of entitlement and egoism.  This boy felt that nothing in the world mattered except his suffering, and he decided to take it out on anyone and everyone, without any concern for their lives and dignity.  Well, he's an extreme case, but a lot of modern folks have similar attitudes about themselves, the world, and other people.  They feel aggrieved, and they want payback, no matter what the long-term consequences may be.  In that sense, I'm sorry to say, Salvador Ramos and the relatives of his victims may have something in common: a very modern and increasingly universal fixation on their own pain, and an indifference to the interests of others and of society as a whole.  I deplore these lawsuits and the rampant victimology that spawned them.


https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8449dxw23do

Thursday, May 23, 2024

Mushy Peas

 


Friends, this week's Newsmaker Show covers much ground, as is always the case.  First, Brian and I consider the upcoming British general election, scheduled for July, which, alas, the Conservatives are very unlikely to win.  They jettisoned a populist conservative, Boris Johnson, in favor of a wishy-washy moderate, Rishi Sunak, and they're about to pay the price.  Chances of another Maggie Thatcher premiership are looking very dim.  Less than one-in-five, I would guess!  Brian and I also cover developments in the Trump trial in NYC, the state of the economy, Democratic doubts about Joe Biden, the ease with which "misinformation" can be replaced with...equally wrong but more politically palatable information, the criminalization of falsehoods, the ICC case against Netanyahu and the global scrutiny of Israel's operations in Gaza, and the running mate dilemma for Trump.


When we get to This Day in History, we look at the fascinating character that was Heinrich Himmler, and the role he played in the Nazy hierarchy.


From Trump to Himmler -- the lefties would say that our coverage of the news and history this week sticks to a pretty narrow range, but you and I know better!


https://wlea.net/newsmaker-may-23-2024-dr-nick-waddy/

Wednesday, May 22, 2024

Frenemies

 


Friends, Donald Trump and Nikki Haley have a long way to go before they could be called allies, but Haley's announcement today that she will be voting for Trump is highly significant nonetheless.  It begins the process by which anti-Trump Republicans, and Trump skeptics, may be reconciled to the prospect of voting -- one more time -- for the Donald.  It was always inevitable that the vast majority of Republicans would return to the fold.  It isn't inevitable, however, that enough Republicans will vote for Trump to seal his victory and propel him back into the White House.  Haley's rhetorical approach today could be the key.  She didn't praise Trump at all.  Instead she excoriated Biden.  And all Trump needs to do to win in November, after all, is capitalize on the huge number of Americans -- red, blue, and purple -- who are against Sleepy Joe.  Bottom line: anyone who's rooting for Trump should be very heartened by these developments.


https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ck77rvmp8xno

Sunday, May 19, 2024

Party Poopers

 


Friends, it may not be immediately apparent, but the whole thrust of lawfare isn't really the law -- it's P.R.  It's about sticking it to your enemies and making them squirm, publicly and often.  Sometimes the lefties take this to a comical extreme, as with their Gestapo raid on Rudy Giuliani's 80th birthday party to serve him his Arizona indictment for election interference.  Talk about petty!  And the glee on the faces of mainstream media commentators says it all: this isn't about "justice". It's about payback!  The only question is...who will get the last laugh?  So far this blistering campaign of lawfare has generated a lot of headlines and made liberal reporters incandescent, but it hasn't moved the political dial much, now has it?  Maybe, just maybe, the vast majority of Americans tuned out this nonsense long ago...


https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13433503/rudy-giuliani-court-arizona-birthday.html

 

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/two-hours-mocking-arizonas-attorney-general-rudy-giuliani-served-birth-rcna152905 


In other news, the President and Foreign Minister of Iran are missing, after their helicopter mysteriously crashed.  Suspicious???  Oh yes!  I won't pretend to know the story behind it, but I bet it's a good one!


https://www.bbc.com/news/live/world-middle-east-69035051?src_origin=BBCS_BBC

Saturday, May 18, 2024

Mr. Tough Guy

 


Friends, our esteemed leader, President Joe Biden, has waxed poetic on many occasions about how he'd like to give DJT a good thrashing.  Well, pretty soon he'll get his chance -- rhetorically speaking, that is.  The two upcoming debates between Sleepy Joe and the Donald will be, make no mistake, MUST SEE TV!!!  I'm highly skeptical, however, that they'll amount to a hill of beans politically.  And that, no doubt, is the point, as the Biden campaign is one big exercise in risk management, in case you haven't noticed...


Here's my latest article, which is an enhanced, expanded version of the post I made on Wednesday.  Enjoy!


False Bravado: Joe Biden is our Debater-in-Chief?


Joe Biden came out swinging this week, agreeing to face off against Donald Trump in two debates and taunting the former president. Biden claimed that he already beaten Trump in both of their debates in 2020, implying that he was confident that he could do so again. “Make my day, pal,” declared Biden, as he playfully suggested that Trump might be “free on Wednesdays” – a reference to the schedule of the Stormy Daniels hush money trial in New York City.

Despite Biden's tough talk, however, the truth is that Democrats, including key Biden confidantes, have been hedging their bets for months about whether any presidential debates would be held. Biden backers have been advising the president against debating Donald Trump – including, most recently, Nancy Pelosi. Their stated reason has generally been that Trump is a lying sack of [expletive deleted], so no self-respecting person should ever talk to him. Lurking underneath this flawless logic, however, is a burgeoning leftist contempt for all forms of dissent, as well as strong doubts about Biden's ability to go toe-to-toe with the fast-talking Trump.

Well, the people who tell Joe Biden what to say and do obviously crunched the numbers, and they decided that he simply couldn't dodge the obligation to debate his major party opponent -- not without looking like he was lily-livered and senile, that is. What Biden could do, however, and has done, is frame the debates so as to give himself maximum advantage, particularly since Trump had already declared that he would debate Biden "anytime" and "anywhere". Biden thus took up the challenge and accepted specific invitations to debate Trump in June on CNN and in September on ABC. The timing is favorable to Biden, since few people will be engaged that early in the process, and, if he stumbles, he will have plenty of time to recover before the voting starts. The venues are even more obviously favorable to Biden, since there is no such thing as a Trumper who works at CNN or ABC.

Be all that as it may, the mere fact that Biden has begrudgingly agreed to debate Trump is highly significant. There can be little doubt that the audiences for both debates will be massive, and the stakes will be, or at least will seem, high.

Then again, we should bear in mind that neither Trump nor Biden is broadly popular, and very few people do not already have extremely fixed opinions about both men. In that sense, no debate is likely to move the political dial all that much. Indeed, one could argue that no development, period, is very likely to change the election landscape, given the fact that, over the last six months, based on RealClearPolitics polling averages, in a five-way race Trump has been consistently ahead of Biden nationally, by a minimum of one and a maximum of six points. Trump has consistently held similar, if modest, leads in most of the swing states. Only a very remarkable debate indeed could shift this race out of the narrow channel through which it's been flowing for so long...or so an objective observer might conclude.

One other notable corollary to the announcement of these two debates is the effective elimination of RFK, Jr. from the lineup, which appears to please both the Trump and Biden camps. It is extremely difficult to see a third party or independent candidate breaking through and claiming victory in a presidential election, when he (or she) is denied the opportunity to appear at, and participate in, the highest profile clashes between the major candidates.

One thus has to wonder whether, in the wake of this setback, RFK, Jr. might propose a debate between the also-rans, including himself, Cornel West, and Jill Stein – or whether he might find some other, inventive way of maximizing his visibility as a candidate. If he does not, then the likely trajectory of his support in the polls will be, as both Trump and Biden seem to want, down, down, down.

And that, in the end, may be the most significant aspect of the Trump-Biden debates: their exclusion of any and all alternatives to the two least liked major party candidates in history.


Dr. Nicholas L. Waddy is an Associate Professor of History at SUNY Alfred and blogs at: www.waddyisright.com. He appears on the Newsmaker Show on WLEA 1480/106.9.

 

You can find it here at Townhall:

 

https://townhall.com/columnists/nicholaswaddy/2024/05/18/false-bravado-joe-biden-is-our-debater-in-chief-n2639232

 

***

 

In other news, we're moving closer to the full House of Representatives holding Attorney General Merrick Garland in contempt.  Gee, I wonder if the DOJ will prosecute Garland?  Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha!!!

 

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2024/may/16/house-panel-holds-attorney-general-merrick-garland/ 

Thursday, May 16, 2024

Ike's Last Gasp

 


Friends, this week's Newsmaker Show reaches way, way back to 1960 to analyze President Eisenhower's failed summit meeting with Premier Khrushchev in Paris, which was scuttled by the U-2 incident and the perfidy of one Francis Gary Powers.  Who would have thought that the fate of the world, and the integrity of an elder statesman, could both be jeopardized by the unlikeliest of airborne mishaps?  Find out more in this week's broadcast.


In addition, Brian and I cover the blockbuster announcement that Joe Biden will consent to debate Donald Trump, the shocking assassination attempt against the Slovakian Prime Minister, the bold decision of the Biden Administration to apply severe sanctions against Chinese exports, the significance of recent Russian advances near Kharkov, the GOP veepstakes and the viability of Marco Rubio, and the startling appearance of a vigorous anti-Israeli movement in (of all places) the United States.

 

What does it all mean?  Simple: it means whatever I say it means!  Or at least it might...


https://wlea.net/newsmaker-may-16-dr-nick-waddy/

 

***

 

In other news, here's a very perceptive analysis of Joe Biden's decision to debate DJT -- especially impressive because it comes from a leftist who (amazingly) acknowledges the weakness of Biden's position.

 

https://www.natesilver.net/p/what-bidens-debate-gambit-reveals 


Here's a thought-provoking exploration of the consequences of an "aging" society.  Will it be necessary to redefine our notions of education and retirement, for example, to accommodate legions of oldsters?  It may.


https://www.ft.com/content/a8f33209-3507-4364-98be-61b3bb464fbb?segmentId=b385c2ad-87ed-d8ff-aaec-0f8435cd42d9

 

Finally, it hasn't escaped my notice, and I know it hasn't escaped yours, that much leftist rhetoric involves the repurposing of elements of the English language to fit neo-Marxist ideological and political imperatives.  "Democracy" is a great example of an idea, and an institution, that has been shamelessly perverted by those who claim to love it most.

 

https://www.wsj.com/articles/marxism-is-a-gulag-of-the-mind-soviet-union-campus-protests-3e7176c7?mod=opinion_feat2_commentary_pos2 

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Better Early Than Never

 

Friends, for months a litany of high-profile Democrats have been advising Joe Biden not to debate Donald Trump.  Their stated reason was usually that Trump is a lying sack of [expletive deleted], so no self-respecting person should ever talk to him.  Lurking underneath this flawless logic, however, was a burgeoning leftist contempt for all forms of dissent, as well as strong doubts about Biden's ability to go toe-to-toe with the fast-talking Trump.  Well, the people who tell Joe Biden what to say and do obviously crunched the numbers, and they decided that he simply couldn't dodge the obligation to debate his major party opponent -- not without looking like he was lily-livered (and senile), that is.  What Biden could do, however, and has done, is frame the debates so as to give himself maximum advantage, particularly since Trump had already declared that he would debate Biden "anytime" and "anywhere".  Biden thus took up the challenge and accepted specific invitations to debate Trump in June on CNN and in September on ABC.  The timing is favorable to Biden, since few people will be engaged that early in the process, and, if he stumbles, he will have plenty of time to recover before the voting starts.  The venues are even more obviously favorable to Biden, since there is no such thing as a Trumper who works at CNN or ABC.  Be all that as it may, the mere fact that Biden has begrudgingly agreed to debate Trump is highly significant.  There can be little doubt that the audiences for both debates will be massive, and the stakes will be, or at least will seem, high.  Then again, we should bear in mind that neither Trump nor Biden is broadly popular, and very few people do not have extremely fixed opinions about both men.  In that sense, no debate is likely to move the political dial all that much.  Indeed, one could argue that no development, period, is very likely to change the election landscape, given the fact that, over the last six months,based on RealClearPolitics polling averages, in a five-way race, Trump has been consistently ahead of Biden nationally, by a minimum of one and a maximum of six points.  Trump has consistently held similar, if modest, leads in most of the swing states.  Only a very remarkable debate indeed could shift this race out of the narrow channel through which it's been flowing for so long...but never say never!

 

P.S.  One other notable development here is the effective elimination of RFK, Jr. from the debates, which appears to please both the Trump and Biden camps.  Will Kennedy find some other inventive way to propel himself into the public eye?  Maybe.


https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/15/biden-proposes-2-debates-with-trump-ditching-bipartisan-commission-00158082

 

In other news, the Prime Minister of Slovakia, who some compare to DJT, has been shot by a man who, it appears, hated him because of his populist/nationalist policies.  It's a sobering reminder that all too often in history assassins are able to exercise an absolute veto over the deliberations of the electorate.  Let us hope that our own presidential election will not be affected by any such sinister violence.

 

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cg6761ggxz1o