Friends, we're getting our first real sense of how many illegal immigrants have "self-deported" since DJT took office in January, and the numbers are STUNNING!!! The headline figure of 1.6 million may be misleading for a variety of reasons, but the fact is that hundreds of thousands of illegals appear to have vacated the country. If you put this in context, probably only around 100,000 have been deported in the same period. This means that Trump's illegal immigration "body language" and messaging has been even more effective than his policy changes. In a way, this shouldn't surprise us. Look how few people are coming across the southern border right now: virtually none, and that isn't because we built a wall -- it's because Trump articulated clearly to the whole world that unauthorized migrants were no longer welcome and would be promptly expelled. Well, quite a few illegals who've been living and working here are getting the same message, and they're voting with their feet. This leads to the follow-up question: how low can the numbers of (remaining) illegal immigrants go? Somewhere close to zero, I would hope. I can't tell you how positive this news is, because, if we had to rely on deportations alone to solve the problem, we would never get close to a solution. The real answer to illegal immigration has always been to persuade current and potential interlopers that it simply isn't worth the bother to break our immigration laws. In other words, we need to make the illegals do our work for us. So far, so good!
In other news, today's data on inflation is somewhat mixed, but what we aren't seeing is a huge spike, and thus the market seems to think that the Fed will cool its jets and lower rates imminently. Chalk up another win for Trump!
https://www.wsj.com/economy/cpi-inflation-july-2025-interest-rate-c9d31b19?st=F5hbLV
We're hearing that Texas Democrats are ready to wave the white flag and return to the Lone Star State to do their jobs -- and in so doing they will allow Texas Republicans to redraw the state's House districts to their own advantage. If true, this is a huge win for the GOP, and a huge embarrassment for the Dems.
Ukraine's President Zelensky is setting the stage for DJT's summit with Putin by declaring that he won't consider giving up any of Ukraine's territory. Well, if that's really the case, then this war ain't anywhere close to being over. Maybe Zelensky is posturing? One could hardly blame him. He must feel a little left out.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4g6qd3k2peo
Finally, as nutty as Zohran Mamdani may be, polls say he's heavily favored to win the NYC mayoral race. Possibly a strong centrist could beat him, but Andrew Cuomo doesn't appear to be "that guy". As I've said repeatedly, a Mamdani win might be a blessing to the political right anyway. Go, Zohran, go!!!
Dr. Waddy from Jack: I think you are probably right ; a Comrade Mamdani making a commie hash of NYC , maybe even inviting Federal intervention, might well redound to our benefit, maybe even in time for 2026. I was going to suggest that in office he might take it slow on the radicalism in order to make himself a viable national candidate. But he probably would not. No, this guy actually thinks that open neo Marxism can win a decisive following, at least in vulnerable oases of fantasy, of which he believes NYC is one. He sure is talking that way. BTW, I was reading about his father, a radical Muslim prof. at Columbia (where his acolytes have benefitted from heretofore spineless Federal funding).
ReplyDeleteI'd much rather see the millions of common sense people in NYC get behind Sliwa. No calculating"well I could vote for Cuomo or Adams". They will never get good governance from any Dem! Rally for Sliwa, NYC and send this neo totalitarian to the margin where he belongs. Just vote for Sliwa. I know so many in NYC are traditional Dems but this is the time to jump ship. Sliwa is a proven long time courageous foe of the low life's who presumptuously roam NYC, seeking "chumps" and "pigeons" to assault. Mamdani would , by abolishing jails and defunding the police, free these monsters from any restraint. That's Marxist doctrine for you; they consider criminals a "revolutionary class".
The Dem party has degenerated beyond measure and is representative now ONLY of those who wish to destroy America. The rise of people like AOC , the Squad and Mamdani to viability within the party is proof that the Dems have willingly departed the mainstream of the American polity and that their obvious intent is to force comprehensive radical change according to long since proven catastrophic Marxist-Leninist principles.
Dr. Waddy from Jack: I didn't know the "House" (I assume that is the U.S. House) had to approve the Texas redistricting , which has now , according to the news flash in the Breitbart article, passed in Texas. The Texas Dems reportedly stormed out of the chamber in high dudgeon. Poor babies; they cannot abide any heretical contradiction of their irrefutable convictions and their frail psyches are terribly blighted by this setback. Oh well, they can repair to those districts of leftist fashionable Austin where they are insulated from Texas and Texans.
ReplyDeleteDr. Waddy from Jack: The BBC article does provide links to discussion of Russian opposition to Nato membership for Ukraine. But they do not express appreciation for Russian intransigence on that issue and Russia's reasons for their unrelenting stand. They do publish a map of Nato and its proximity to Russia and the dates of the members' accession to the Nato. It reveals that Russia has (no doubt painfully) refrained from forceful opposition to the expansion of this obviously anti Russian alliance.
ReplyDeleteRussias has not done so but for their national interests. But Ukraine in Nato is an unendurable step too far for Russia. Russian protestations of a special relationship with Ukraine are (unhappily for much of Ukraine) historically supportable. And Russian determination to exercise a proximate sphere of influence can be somewhat compared to our Monroe Doctrine or China' s resolve to recover lost "Chinese" lands. I do not in this suggest any sympathy for brutal Russia but simply grim empathy with its position in this conflict.
I agree with you now: Russia probably will not accept an American guarantee of a no vote for Ukrainian membership, which would prevent Ukrainian membership. They know our democracy can mean sharp changes in foreign policy with succeeding administrations. Russia will probably need other assurances of its security from incursion through Ukraine and land may provide this to them, perhaps as Eastern Europe once did. Its a terribly real, probable necessity that Ukraine accede to the loss of some of its territory. Their close, proximity to Great Russia is undeniable geographic, historical and to some extent, cultural fact.
". . . appreciation OF Russian intransigence . . . " Jack
ReplyDeleteAlso:" . . . INCREMENTAL expansion . . ." Sorry, Jack
ReplyDeleteDr. Waddy from Jack: Its beginning to look like a golden era of American redemption and rennaissance has commenced. I'm guessing that President Trump has paid a lot of attention to how Mayor Guiliani delivered from NYC from the reign of lawbreakers: say what you are going to do and then do it! And well, surprise, surprise to the apologists, the equivacators, the prevaricators and the "well now, you can't do that!" crowd - it works!
ReplyDeleteWho could ever have confidently predicted that the southern border would be CLOSED and that a mass voluntary exodus of illegal immigrants would be well under way at this point in Pres. Trump's second tenure?
Dr. Waddy from Jack:My bad: I misinterpreted the Breitbart article. The Texas Senate passed the redistricting plan but the Texas House, from which the Dems skittered, is still without a quorum. With it being the Lone Star state I assumed Texas had a unicameral legislature, honest!But the Dems can't hide forever. Democracy , which they respect only when it obsequiously gives them their irrefutable due, is going to catch up to them soon it appears. I think the Dems are doing an inadvertent "redistricting" of their own with this tantrum. I can't see it sitting well with the majority of Texans and they'll show it in '26.
ReplyDeleteDr. Waddy from Jack: So the DC Attorney General is suing the DOJ over the DOJ taking direct administrative control of the DC police dep't. In a grim way, this is a fascinating legal contretemps. The nation's capitol sues the nation for relief from national measures to restore a physical lawfulness which is sorely and shamefully lacking in that city. The DC Chief of Police, who seemingly moments ago expressed willingness to cooperate with the National Guard in this critical effort now laments that DOJ's administration is the worst possible threat to law and order. WELL! That's a mighty tall order in a city for which incidental and arbitrary anarchy is already almost normal.
ReplyDeleteThe suit is being heard by a Judge not noted for impartiality. Should she rule against the administration a reckoning may be at hand.
The far left is of course very much involved in this developing conflict. The usual well organized and financed cadre has turned out "in the streets" They greatly fear the possibility, which with this hombre President is a clear and present one, that this crime crackdown will work and provide an example of what can be done to redeem other cities and disempower vicious criminals. Already the far left is girding its loins for that.
They need to consider this: do they really want to risk having Pres. Trump declare a National Emergency, which would give him the power to fight crime anywhere in the country with Federal force? Can far left Mayors be brought to their senses and declare war on criminals? I don't think they have it in them to do so.
President Trump's fortitude has already had a remedial effect in America. He intimidates many of those influencers who in the past have bullied spineless and apologetic America doubters even in the White House. He has stood up manfully to the worst of personal excoriation; he is not going to back down now in his onslaught on the vicious criminals who so pollute our country. He knows what it is like to catch it from them.
Jack, my impression is that Mamdani is cloaking his radicalism in ever more strident Trump bashing, which is politically a very smart tack for him to take. As for Sliwa, it's been a while since I saw a poll that gave him a chance at victory. As you suggest, there are already too many cooks in the kitchen. Mamdani benefits from the divided field.
ReplyDeleteThings are still in motion in Texas. The legislature still doesn't have a quorum, so the redistricting plan hasn't yet been passed.
Jack, there's another wrinkle to redistricting. It can help us in the House of Representatives, sure, but it could also entrench our power in states like...Texas. I'm sure Texas Dems are well aware of this. Their slim hopes of capturing the legislature there could get even slimmer.
You raise an interesting point, Jack: what powers does DJT have that would allow him to federalize law enforcement in other blue cities? You mentioned martial law. There's also his duty to protect federal agents and workers. We may test these waters, by and by!
Dr. Waddy from Jack: Our tolerance of crime and criminals shames us before much of the world. And the injustice it works on the law abiding and especially the most vulnerable (senior citizens and children) is unforgivable. In our creditable effort to be "fair" to everyone we have nonetheless manifested a justice system in spite of which cynical, vicious criminals thrive. Let DJT be Guiliani on a national scale.
ReplyDelete