Friends, two very interesting polls have been released in recent days, which give us our first taste of a Trump-Biden-Kennedy-West matchup. The upshot of this scenario is that there is zero evidence that Trump performs worse in a four-way race, and some significant evidence that he performs better. The key, in many ways, is West, who has the ability to do serious harm to Biden's candidacy. RFK, Jr., by contrast, has a more ambiguous effect. Keep in mind that we still don't know if there will be a centrist "No Labels" candidate, but if there is then such a scenario could become even bleaker for Biden. A Green Party candidate and a Libertarian Party candidate will presumably also be in the mix. So...a seven-way race for the presidency? Why not? We don't know, of course, whether Americans will perceive it that way. The two major parties will work feverishly, along with their media allies, to convince voters that a vote for anyone other than Trump or Biden would be a giant waste. That's generally worked in the past, but this time? Hmm. Just as important as these national numbers, I hasten to add, is how the hydra-headed presidential election turns out in the key swing states. RFK, Jr., for instance, might help Biden a little in the national popular vote, but that doesn't mean that will be the case in Nevada, or Michigan, or New Hampshire. Only time will tell.
https://harvardharrispoll.com/key-results-october-4/
Speaking of 2024, efforts to exclude Trump from the ballot in Colorado are rapidly coming to a head. The lefty judge in the case will almost certainly show DJT the door, but what the State Supreme Court or SCOTUS will do remains to be seen. I strongly suspect that Trump will remain on the ballot, at the end of the day, but that doesn't mean that every third party or independent candidate will make it on to every state ballot -- and these omissions could be as decisive to the outcome as any other factor (mark my words!).
RAY TO DR. WADDY AND JACK
ReplyDeleteAll this speculation about who is going to be the next President is basically a waste of time. Betting on horse and dog races is more reliable.
Get ready for a continuing Biden presidency, and if Biden can't handle it at some point, Harris will take over.
Get real! The people who run this country now are not going to give up their power, and they will do anything to see that they remain in power.
Sorry to burst your bubble about elections, but the "game is rigged" to The Left, and will stay that way for an indefinite period.
That great experiment of 1776 is gone, gone, gone! For those of us who were born at the right time, we got to experience some of it, although others have always hated the idea of any sort of freedom.
Add to the future, a moral and culture degeneracy that has been brewing for at least 100 years, the future has come home to roost.
If you are religious, hope for the rapture, and that you are not left behind.
Best of luck to the both of you.
RAY TO DR. WADDY AND JACK
Delete"The PAST has come home to roost"
Dr. Waddy, Ray et al from Jack: Ray, there is a very realizable possibility that you are right.America is in existential danger. If the antiamerican left triumphs, there will be no America. "Fundamental transformation" is meant to create a thing which is antithetical to America. The certain moral and cultural degeneracy you note is obvious and is gladly advanced by an antiamerican left which knows it can work the collapse of our civilization and its replacement with an ". . . ex machina" of their fevered imaginations, guaranteed to generate incalculable injustice.
ReplyDeleteDr. Waddy from Jack: You make very much well supported sense in your comments about how a "plethora" of unelectable candidates could spell disaster for the dems. Disqualification of minor candidates: a perceptive point that this might well reduce their impact on the election to the advantage of Biden. Neo 1860 looms and could have consequences in some ways comparable to that seminal year.
ReplyDeleteDr. Waddy from Jack: West is as strident and unscholarly as to have motivated even Harvard to show him the door. So Princeton took him from the waiver wire; this was probably virtue signaling. Seeing him in a debate would be a cringworthy experience. The fact that there may yet be a considerable audience for him is appalling but if they go far toward defeating the dem standard bearer then let them bustle!
ReplyDeleteRay, I agree that there's a very good chance that the Left/establishment will do ANYTHING to prevent Trump from winning in '24, including killing him and/or you and me, but there's at least a possibility that they'll be caught flat-footed, and that Trump may win so convincingly that they'll be shamed into allowing him to be president again (and then they'll content themselves with the thought that they'll have him chasing his tail for four years, as they did before). Hey, I'm an optimist! I like to think that the powers-that-be, despite their malevolent intelligence and ruthlessness, are still capable of face-planting once in a while.
ReplyDeleteAs for the cultural/moral/spiritual rot that set in long ago, Trump can't reverse that, especially since in many ways he's part of it.
Jack, I doubt if a write-in campaign could save Trump, BUT a write-in campaign, for someone like West in a state like, oh, Wisconsin or Arizona, could easily be the difference in the whole election.
I doubt very much that West would appear in a debate. I don't think the Dems would abide it! They'd sooner boycott the debates and sink them as a phenomenon. In fact, with Biden losing his marbles, they might prefer that.