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Thursday, November 15, 2018

Jim Acosta and the Media's Sense of Entitlement

Friends, my latest article addresses CNN's ridiculous lawsuit, by which Jim Acosta is trying to force his way back into the White House, so he can disrespect the President to his heart's content. Outrageously, Fox News is voicing support for CNN and Acosta. Is it time for conservatives to change the channel, or chuck their TVs into the nearest well? I leave that up to you...

Fox News Should Be Ashamed Of Its Support For CNN And Jim Acosta

Conservatives are rightly shocked and dismayed by two recent decisions by Fox News, an allegedly Republican-friendly organization. First, Fox decided to ban President Trump's anti-illegal immigration campaign ad after CNN decided it was “racist”. Note that Fox, NBC, and other media outlets didn't discover this racism on their own. No, they needed that paragon of journalistic integrity, CNN, as well as a Twitter mob, to find it for them. Hardly a profile in courage or a sign of sound judgment on the part of Fox News.

Now, Fox News has compounded its sins by filing an amicus brief supporting CNN's recent lawsuit against the White House. The lawsuit aims to force the Trump administration and the Secret Service to restore the press pass of legendary blowhard Jim Acosta. The White House terminated Acosta's access to the White House grounds after he refused to surrender the floor during a recent press conference, and in fact he refused to give the microphone back to a White House intern who was attempting to reclaim it. This was the last straw for Sarah Sanders, who decided that some semblance of order had to be restored to the interactions between the administration and the media, and some standard of professionalism, respect, and courtesy had to be enforced on White House journalists.

Amazingly, CNN alleges in its lawsuit that Jim Acosta's constitutional rights have been violated. His rights to free speech, press freedom, and “due process” apparently entitle him to question the President, at whatever length he deems appropriate, on national television. The audacity of this claim is breathtaking, but that Fox News would subscribe to this specious logic is a bitter blow to those conservatives who thought that Fox, at the very least, could be depended on to give Donald Trump a fair shake. Not so.

Consider the facts: Jim Acosta is a free man in a free country. He has been lavishly criticizing Sarah Sanders and Donald Trump, on Twitter and by other means, continuously – before, during, and after the infamous press conference. No one is interfering with his right to free speech in any way, and nor is he unable to work as a reporter. In fact, more people are listening to the siren song of Acosta-ism now than ever before. One might even say that the...volume of his speech has been turned up dramatically, courtesy of the President's low opinion of him.

Despite this, Acosta and CNN claim that the Constitution guarantees them access to the President. Now, keep in mind that a pass to gain entrance to the White House grounds is technically irrelevant to Acosta's ability to pose challenging questions to the President of the United States. Trump can always refuse to call on Acosta at press conferences, even if the “rude, terrible person” is present. 
Or perhaps I speak too hastily: perhaps CNN feels Acosta is entitled not just to stroll the White House grounds, but also to buttonhole the President (and Sarah Sanders) as often as he wishes. Perhaps Acosta is even entitled to favorable camera angles, a glass of cool, refreshing water before each of his tirades, and a good night's rest before each foray into rudeness... After all, each of these factors bears on Acosta's ability to deliver his harangues effectively, and to scrutinize the President and his administration in a suitably public way. One wonders, in fact, whether Acosta and CNN are also entitled to high ratings for their broadcasts of presidential dressings-down? Could all Americans refusing to tune into CNN during White House press conferences also be guilty of constitutional violations? It's a question no American should dismiss lightly, given the creativity of liberal lawyers.

The truth, of course, is that, in a free country, every person is entitled to free speech, but they are also able to decide for themselves to whom they will speak. To put it in the starkest possible terms: the Fifth Amendment states that even those accused of a crime, even those self-evidently guilty of a crime, are not required to speak to the court that will hold them in judgment. And yet CNN (and its media acolytes) asserts that the President of the United States must, according to the Constitution, submit to the disrespectful and unprofessional “journalism” of Jim Acosta. Trump must allow Acosta to pontificate in the President's own house, and, presumably, he must give answers that satisfy Acosta, who otherwise will feel entitled to unlimited follow-ups, in pursuit of “the truth”.

The absurdity of CNN's position is transparent. CNN takes the view that President Trump, in his capacity as President, has no rights at all. He is merely a creature of the press. He is a punching bag, and it is for the Fourth Estate to decide how hard and how often he will be hit, and by whom. Ridiculous!

I encourage the White House in the strongest terms to fight CNN's lawsuit, to stick to its guns and deny Jim Acosta renewed access to the White House, and, in future, to issue clear and strict standards that will govern the expectations for other reporters covering the Trump administration.

The White House press corps is by no means required to support President Trump or to ask him only softball questions, but it is, or ought to be, required to show basic respect, decency, and professionalism in its conduct. And, if the journalistic luminaries in the White House Correspondents' Association don't like being held to the same standard as any other guest in the White House would be, well, they can vote for President Trump's opponent in the 2020 election.

Of course, they were already planning on doing that anyway, as we all know.

Dr. Nicholas L. Waddy is an Associate Professor of History at SUNY Alfred and blogs at: He appears weekly on the Newsmaker Show on WLEA 1480.

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Is Merkel's EU Army Coming for...YOU???

Friends, don't miss my latest interview with Brian O'Neil on WLEA's Newsmaker Show.  This week we dissect the midterm results, including the Florida recounts and the Sinema victory in Arizona, we talk about the 100th anniversary of the Armistice that ended World War I, and we discuss the potshots that European leaders have been taking at President Trump.  I also assess Angela Merkel's absurd claim that the EU needs a "true" army of its own.  If you ask me, the EU would be better off sticking to its core competency of promoting free trade.  The more it gets into foreign policy and military affairs -- and the more it asks right-thinking Europeans to give up control of their borders -- the less likely it is to survive in the decades ahead.  My prediction: Britain will be the first country to leave the EU, yes, but it won't be the last.  And an EU Army?  A pipe-dream!  Nothing more.

Saturday, November 10, 2018

Pyrrhic Victory

Friends, my latest article explores the double-edged sword that is the new, very slender Democratic majority in the House.  Enjoy, and thanks to Townhall for publishing it!

Thursday, November 8, 2018

You Win Some, You Lose Some

Friends, the midterms are now in the books, and Republicans can celebrate some big wins in marquee matchups: Florida Governor, Georgia Governor, and the U.S. Senate races in Arizona, Texas, North Dakota, Missouri, Florida, and Indiana, for instance. Still, Democrats won the House, albeit narrowly, and this is certainly not what I expected or hoped for.  My latest Newsmaker interview with Brian O'Neil gives you my general opinion on the midterms, which I will also analyze in a forthcoming article.  Here is this week's Newsmaker Show:

Meanwhile, I invite you to take a gander at these important stories.  First, Attorney General Jeff Sessions has been fired (not unexpectedly), and this means that the Mueller investigation has a new overseer: Acting Attorney General Matt Whittaker.  What does this portend?

Secondly, CNN's Jim Acosta has had his pass to access the White House revoked, after behaving deplorably towards a White House intern and more importantly President Trump. If you ask me, Acosta is a buffoon, not a journalist, and his disrespectful brand of "journalism" would never have been tolerated if it was directed at President Obama. Simply put, no one is required to like President Trump, but a White House reporter is and ought to be required to show basic respect to the Office of President. Acosta has failed in that regard, so he should find a new line of work, or a new "beat" as a reporter.  I strongly believe the White House should stick to its guns on this issue, regardless of whatever whining comes out of the press corps.

Lastly, winning the House does not seem to have put the far-left in a better mood.  They descended like jackals last night on the home of Tucker Carlson and implicitly threatened him and his family.  You'll see a lot of journalists howling about the fate of Jim Acosta -- you'll see very few lift a finger to defend Tucker's constitutional rights, not to mention the safety and well-being of his family.  It's a shame that the Left wasn't held more accountable for this kind of behavior in the midterms, but at least we can presume that Tucker will keep fighting the good fight...

Tuesday, November 6, 2018

Decision Time for America

Friends, I'm sure I don't need to remind you to vote, but I will remind you that we're very blessed to live in a country where We the People get to decide who will lead us. I anticipate a great night for Republicans, yes, but more to the point I'm 100% sure that America will keep on ticking, as it always does, and our divisions will subside, sooner or later. One Nation Under God, Indivisible, With Liberty And Justice For All! Take a little time today to be thankful, if you please.

Here's a very interesting analysis based on some sophisticated number crunching.  I don't agree with the conclusion, but I think the article does a good job of revealing just how challenging it will be for the Democrats to take control of the House...

Monday, November 5, 2018

The Grand Finale: Depression on the Left

Friends, today American Greatness has published the last installment in my four-part series about the Democrats' likely reaction to defeat in the midterm elections. I see CNN today has doubled down on its prediction that the Dems will prevail by 13 points. Ha! They sure do have a sense of humor! I jest, of course -- liberals have no discernible sense of humor, and if the "blue wave" doesn't come to pass you can bet they will be distraught, to say the least. The last part of my analysis considers the question of how many will descend into a deep depression...and how many may give up on the Democratic Party or the liberal movement altogether. The number need not be high to guarantee President Trump re-election in 2020. See what you think...

Sunday, November 4, 2018

Anger on the Left: America's "New Normal"

Ah, Howard Dean. Remember when this guy was the favorite to win the Democratic nomination in 2004, but crashed and burned, partly because he was seen as too "angry" and extreme? Well, Democrats and liberals have undergone an evolution since then. They are now so apoplectic about the Trump presidency that no bad behavior, no fit of vituperation, no incidence of harassment of Republicans, seems out of bounds. In fact, the liberals are seemingly competing with each other to earn the title "Biggest Trump-Hater of All-Time". Think Trump is a fascist? NO! He's a Super-Nazi! Think Trump is soft on Putin? NO! He's a Putin stooge and an epic traitor! Think Trump is a ruthless businessman? NO! Actually he's guilty of every white collar crime in the book, ipso facto, and most non-white collar crimes too. Why not? And, lastly, think Trump supporters were wrong to vote for him? NO! Every Trump voter is as racist, misogynistic, homophobic, transphobic, xenophobic, Earth-hating, and generally monstrous as Trump himself! Death would be too mild a punishment for such swine!

That, unfortunately, is how the Left has come to see the world. It isn't pretty. Part Three of my four-part series on the likely leftist reaction to a failure of the "blue wave" is about ANGER, and how liberal rage will intensify in some frightening, but ultimately counterproductive (to the Left), ways after November 6th.

Here it is in American Greatness (it was also featured on RealClearPolitics!):

Saturday, November 3, 2018

The Dems Are In Denial, And It's About To Get Much Worse

Friends, it's no secret by now that the Democrats will do anything to avoid the awful truth that they straight-up lost the 2016 election.  Oh no, they say -- we were cheated.  In fact, the whole Trump presidency is an illusion, a mistake, a passing fancy, a criminal conspiracy which will soon unravel. In short, Democrats are in denial, and once they lose on November 6th their condition will dramatically intensify. Read all about it in Part Two of my "Stages of Grief" analysis:

Friday, November 2, 2018

Whammy the First: A Brief History of TDS

Friends, today the first in my four-part series of articles appeared in American Greatness. The topic is a very important one: what explains liberal derangement since the election of President Trump, and more importantly how will this derangement change or intensify after they lose another election on November 6th? I have by now made it clear that I believe the "blue wave" is destined to fail, and thus we cannot but be curious how the Left will react. They have, by all appearances, been flirting with lunacy for two years now, so will they be able to absorb the shock of another setback, another rebuke from the American people?  My guess is that the 2018 election will produce a major earthquake on the Left, and the Democratic Party and the liberal movement may be permanently hobbled by the resulting chaos. I analyze the prospects for liberal self-destruction using Elisabeth Kubler-Ross's Five Stages of Grief as a model. Today's installment is just an introduction -- a brief history of Trump Derangement Syndrome, if you will -- so the real "meat" of the analysis and my more detailed prognostications will follow on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday. Don't miss it! America's future is on the line.

Thursday, November 1, 2018

Democrats: The End is Nigh! REPENT!

Friends, in a further sign that Democrats may want to dust off their applications for residency in Canada, data continues to pour in documenting the failure of the "blue wave". Today I bring you three articles that confirm, in the main, that 2018 may not be as great as 2014 for Republicans, but arguably the position for the GOP in 2018 is better than in 2016, and 2016 -- in case you've forgotten -- was something of a banner year! Now, maybe independent voters have turned against Republicans in a big way. Maybe there's some wave of young or minority voters who Democrats plan to spring on us at the last minute (a sort of strategic reserve). None of this seems very likely. An election in which Republican voters turn out in record numbers, and in numbers that are proportionally similar to previous elections in which they did well, hardly sets the stage for a rout. My sense, therefore, is that we're still on track to turn Trump Derangement Syndrome into Trump Psychosis. Be of good cheer, Republicans!

Wednesday, October 31, 2018

A WaddyIsRight Quadruple-Whammy Is Coming Soon!

Friends, you won't want to miss my latest interview on the Newsmaker Show with Brian O'Neil. We break down the midterms, the recent spate of pseudo-bombings and actual shootings, the fall of Angela Merkel, the question of "birthright citizenship", and more! Most of all, I scoff at the "big blue wave" that Democrats say is coming...  Listen in, why don't you?

Meanwhile, gird your loins for what is sure to be a life-altering experience: a series of FOUR articles that will be published in American Greatness in the coming days. This magnum opus will feature my take on the ravages of "Trump Derangement Syndrome," which is already hobbling most liberals, and which, I firmly believe, is about to become vastly more acute, in the wake of the failure of the "blue wave". I predict exactly how the Dems will react to this massive setback, and how the liberal movement may start to unravel and destroy itself...  This is history in the making, and you heard it here first! The articles will come, slow and steady, one per day, starting on Friday. Hold yourselves in readiness!

Sunday, October 28, 2018

An All-Points Bulletin to Democrats: Your Blue Wave is Already Underwater

Friends, the data continues to accumulate, and things are looking good!

First, let me ask you this: if you had to base your predictions for the midterms on a poll, conducted among several hundred possible voters, and put through a statistical meat-grinder, or on several million actual voters, visiting actual polls, and casting actual votes, which would you choose? No contest, right? Well, we're now in a position to analyze who has voted early in the midterms, and the results are shocking for those who've clung to the false hope of a "blue wave". Republican turnout is surging -- much more so than Democratic turnout. Check out these fascinating analyses, which I hasten to point out do not come from FoxNews, but from left-leaning media organizations:

Both of these articles are fascinating, and they convey somewhat different impressions of the electoral landscape thus far, but the common denominator jumps out at us: neither analysis is indicative of anything like a "blue wave". In fact, some of this information smacks of a "red wave"! To me, the NBC article is more compelling, because it places the figures we have now in historical context. Given the massive turnout in early voting to date, it seems reasonable to compare where we are now to where we were at the same point in 2016, even though that was a presidential election year, and it's clear that, while Democrats held a sizeable edge in early voting in that year (and still lost), now the tables have turned and Republicans have the advantage. Is it possible that the data could be wrong or incomplete? Yes. For instance, these two articles give very different vote totals, and yet they were compiled at roughly the same time. One or the other of them is inaccurate, therefore. More importantly, there are still tens of millions of Americans who haven't voted, and many of whom won't vote until election day. Will they be, as history suggests, mostly Republicans? Don't forget: Mitt Romney won on election day, but he still lost the 2012 election because of early voting... We won't know for sure how things will shake out until all the votes are counted, but in my opinion it's unlikely that well-established patterns will reverse themselves. It's more likely that both Democrats and Republicans are fired up this year -- but Republicans appear to be more fired up. For a Democratic Party already counting its winnings from a "big blue wave," this information isn't just "bad news", it's potentially catastrophic! Stay tuned.

Saturday, October 27, 2018

That "Blue Wave" is Fading to Red As We Speak

Friends, after that first initial burst of info from early voting tallies, which showed surprising -- nay, historic! -- strength for the GOP, we haven't heard much from the mainstream media on this issue.  You can see why. The "blue wave" narrative is an end in itself, and it can't be undermined, because Democrats have little else going for them. Having said that, some local news outlets are still reporting the news (imagine that!), and in Arizona, a key Senate battleground, the news is all good for Republicans: GOP turnout is way up and outpacing Democratic turnout. We keep hearing that Democrats historically dominate in early voting. Not this year. Does this presage a "Red Wave"? Maybe. I'd like to hope so!

And here's a bonus for you: a RealClearPolitics analysis of the significance of the massive crowds at Trump rallies leading up to the midterms. We keep hearing that Dems are champing at the bit, but if that's true why do they show up in such small numbers to hear their leftist heroes, like Obama and Biden, speak? Mark my words: one take-away from this election will be that Democratic donors and leftist activists were fired up, but that doesn't necessarily translate into big turnout among the rank and file.

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Trumpism Triumphant!!!

Friends, good news!  The 2018 midterm elections have already happened...inside my head, and the results are in!  Republicans won big!  To put it another way, the official WaddyIsRight predictions for the midterms (destined soon to be proven RIGHT) are ready and available for your review.

First, take a gander at this article, which oozed out of the odious cesspool that is the NBC newsroom just today.  The article is missing an historical analysis of the figures on early voting it provides, but the message is clear: if there's going to be a blue wave, there's no sign of it in the profile of the voters who have already cast ballots.  Could NBC be sending a message to its leftist constituency: Be Afraid -- Be VERY Afraid!?!!

And now...on to the predictions.  WaddyIsRight is forecasting a win for Democrats in the national popular vote for the House of Representatives.  RealClearPolitics puts the average lead for the Dems on the generic ballot at 7.7%, at this moment in time.  For reasons I've already disclosed, I believe these figures are exaggerated.  I expect the Dems to win the national popular vote by 2-3 points.

WaddyIsRight forecasts that, despite their strong showing in the national popular vote, Democrats will not gain enough seats to take control of the House.  They will net approximately 15 seats, leaving the Republicans in control, albeit narrowly.  White liberals will turn out in large numbers, helping Democrats to victory in some suburban swing districts.  Minorities and young people will vote in disappointing numbers, dooming the Democratic effort to turn the House blue.  Republican turnout will be robust across the board.

WaddyIsRight predicts a Republican pickup of four seats in the Senate.  This is greater than the current forecast of RealClearPolitics, which shows the Republicans netting only two seats.  The lead currently possessed by several Democratic Senate candidates is very small, though, and, since I believe the polls are stacked in the Dems' favor, some of these close contests will go the Republicans' way.  Critical competitive races include: Montana, Nevada, Arizona, Missouri, Indiana, West Virginia, and Florida.  Most of these races are pickup opportunities for Republicans.

Democrats will do somewhat better at the state level, where they will pick up five or more governorships, and at least ten state legislative chambers.  Nonetheless, most state legislatures, and most governorships, will remain in Republican hands.  The top two Governor's races from the WaddyIsRight perspective -- in Georgia and Florida -- will be won by the GOP.

There you have it!  The much-ballyhooed blue wave will be more like a blue ripple, and Republicans, fired by enthusiasm for Trumpism, prosperity, the rule of law, immigration sanity, an America First trade policy and foreign policy, and by the timeless concepts of basic human decency and mutual respect (so often violated by irate leftists in recent months), will struggle to an historic victory. 

Stay tuned, therefore, for an analysis of the aftermath to this Trumpian triumph.  How will the Left react to yet another stunning defeat?  Spoiler alert: it won't be pretty!

Monday, October 22, 2018

Let's Get Ready to...Rrrrrrumble!

Friends, both parties are in the sprint to the finish line in 2018, and it's getting ugly out there!  This week Brian O'Neil and I break down the midterms, and we cover all the hot button topics in the news -- even the question of table manners when dining with the Senate Majority Leader...  Don't miss it!

Friday, October 19, 2018

It's Chris Collins or Bust!

Friends, although I'm well aware that I have legions of adoring fans in every corner of the globe, many of you hail from Western New York, as I do.  Thus, you will know that there is an increasingly hotly contested Congressional race in the 27th district, between sitting Congressman Chris Collins, a Republican and a Trump-supporter, and Nate McMurray, the Democrat and a crypto-liberal who says as little as possible about his leftist views, so as to fool the good people of Western New York into voting for him.  Because Congressman Collins is currently under indictment, unfortunately victory is not assured for the good guys in this race.  My latest article endorses Collins and calls on the people of Western New York to rally to his cause.  Do you want a Nancy Pelosi speakership?  Do you want President Trump to be impeached for...offending snowflake liberals who believe he never should have been elected in the first place?  If your answer to these questions is no, then don't sit on the sidelines.  Vote for Chris Collins, and, if you can, contribute to his campaign, encourage your friends to vote for him, or pound the pavement and help to mobilize the Republican base.  If we make a maximum effort, we can win this race (handily) and many others besides...

Here's the article in Townhall:

Thursday, October 18, 2018

Don't Worry -- Be Happy!

Friends, there are about a thousand and one reasons not be a leftist, but topping my list is this gem: liberalism is such a downer.  According to most liberals, we are living in the very worst of times: Trumpian tyranny, income disparity, police brutality, sexism and racism run amuck, environmental emergency -- you name it and we're knee deep in it, or so they say.  As you and I know, however, we're darn lucky to live in the good ole USA at the beginning of the 21st century, in the freest, most prosperous, and most dynamic society that has ever existed.  Moreover, most of the blights on civilization perceived by leftists are either phony, exaggerated, or both.  Today I bring you more good cheer, to counteract the doom-saying that the Left is constantly engaged in.

First, check out this article, which deconstructs the leftist assumption that climate change is responsible for all inclement weather, and the weather, by and large, is destined to get infinitely worse.  In fact, even though global temperatures have risen in recent decades, life for most people has gotten much, much better, especially in the Third World, and those trends are set to continue.  It's a very intriguing and well-supported analysis:

In addition, you may want to ponder Rush Limbaugh's predictions for the midterm elections.  He discounts the "blue wave" polls, and he forecasts instead an expanded Republican majority in the Senate as well as a House of Representatives that remains in responsible GOP hands.  My predictions, which are coming soon, are very similar.  And, in any event, the worst case scenario for Republicans is that we lose the House...and Democrats tie themselves in knots for the next two years, trying to decide who to impeach.  That wouldn't be the end of the world.  In any case, here is what Rush has to say:

So, you see, we don't live in the worst of all possible worlds, after all.  Quite the contrary!

Wednesday, October 17, 2018

Crazy Is As Crazy Does

Friends, remember when the media DIDN'T dismiss Kanye West as a rambling mental patient?  Sure, that was back before he became a Trump-supporter...  It's clear that the Left is running scared.  They're attacking anyone, especially minorities and women, who are fleeing the sinking ship that is the Democratic Party.  So be it.  The proof is in the pudding, and this November we have an opportunity to deal what could be a deathblow to modern liberalism.  Onward to victory, I say!  All this and much more is featured in this week's Newsmaker Show interview, featuring yours truly and Mr. Brian O'Neil.  Don't miss it!

Friday, October 12, 2018

Poll the Pollsters: Which Side Are They On?

Friends, the reliability of the polling data supplied by the mainstream media has come under question, well, forever, but especially since their massive errors in 2016.  My latest article asks the question: how believable are the predictions of a "blue wave" in November, based on the allegedly scientific and objective data on which these predictions are made?  It turns out that polling is an art, not a science, and there is ample reason to question whether the GOP's collective goose is as cooked as the Left wants us to think...  Read on, and be comforted by my analysis, which is coming soon to the virtual pages of American Greatness!

Consider the Source: Polls Predicting a “Blue Wave” Are Not Reliable

Republicans are understandably distraught when they hear the mainstream media endlessly repeating the mantra that there will be an historic “blue wave” in the November midterm elections. President Trump's allegedly incompetent and borderline-tyrannical misrule of the rightfully indignant American people will produce a suitable backlash, we are told: Democrats will surely take the House, and possibly the Senate. Will the Republican Party even survive this shellacking? The verdict is out.

This narrative is supported by polling conducted on behalf of major news organizations. CNN's latest poll, conducted October 4th-7th, is a good case in point. It claims that, in the “generic ballot” question that asks whether likely voters are inclined to support the Democratic or Republican candidate for the House of Representatives in their local district, Democrats hold a massive 13-point edge: 54-41%. Wow! Truly, the race is over, if this poll is to be believed, and Republicans are the losers par excellence. Or is it that simple?

When one drills down to the particulars in the CNN survey, one finds myriad reasons to doubt its accuracy. For one thing, it forecasts a “gender gap” of unprecedented proportions: it finds that 63% of female likely voters will back the Democrats, compared to only 45% of men. Although it is normal for women to be more supportive of Democratic candidates than men, the size of the discrepancy seldom exceeds 10 points. This is suspicious.

Even more damning to the reliability of the poll is its prediction that voters over 65 will favor Democrats by 18 points! This is in the realms of pure fantasy, given that older voters have consistently favored Republicans in recent years, and in 2016 they voted for Republican House candidates over Democrats 53-45%. A “blue wave” might, in the most optimistic scenario, mean that Democrats would tie Republicans among older voters, but the notion that they could win this demographic in a landslide is an absurdity.

The CNN poll is equally dubious when it comes to race. In 2016, according to exit polls, white voters favored Republican House candidates by 22 points: 60-38%. But in 2018 CNN predicts Republican House candidates will win the white vote by only 1 point. Nonsense.

There are deeper reasons, however, to mistrust the CNN poll and others like it. Above all, we should consider the history of polling, and how frequently individual polls, and even the average of polls, can be wrong.

It's no secret that in 2016 the polls predicted that Hillary Clinton would be our next President, and yet here she is in 2018 – a private citizen, albeit an outspoken one. What is more interesting, for our purposes, is that, also in 2016, many polling organizations were asking the usual “generic ballot” question of voters: in their district, would they prefer the Democratic or the Republican candidate for the House of Representatives? Based on the RealClearPolitics average of major polls, at no point in the 2016 election cycle (May to November) did Republicans have a lead on this question, and yet Republicans won the national popular vote for the House by one point and maintained control of the chamber. Let that sink in. Polling averages generally favored the Democrats by 3 to 5 points, they never favored the Republicans, and yet the Democrats still lost. How could this be?

The answer is, in part, that there are, included within these national polling averages, bogus polls like CNN's monstrosity predicting a 13-point win for Democrats. By no means is this the first time that CNN has overrated Democratic strength. In 2006, the last time there truly was a “blue wave,” Democrats won the national popular vote for the House by 8 points. Nonetheless, the last CNN generic ballot poll showed Democrats winning by 20 points! That's a large discrepancy, to say the least. 
CNN polls are not always this wrong, of course. In 2016, the last CNN poll of the generic ballot question favored Democrats by 3 points, whereas Republicans won the national popular vote by 1 point. Thus, CNN was in the tank for Democrats only to the tune of 4 points. An improvement from 2006, therefore, but still a poor reflection on the accuracy (or lack thereof) of CNN's polling operations.

The potential for CNN, and other major news organizations, to misconstrue, or even deliberately misrepresent, the leanings of the electorate is vast. One has to wonder: how many CNN reporters and pundits would be willing to bet their annual salary on the notion that Democrats will win the popular vote in House races this year by 13 points? Not many! One suspects that the 13-point number is, in fact, not designed to be predictive at all. It is instead designed to shift the narrative – to make news, rather than report it – and to encourage Democrats while discouraging Republicans.

CNN's latest whopper continues a trend in recent polling, as polling averages routinely overrate Democratic strength. In 2014, for instance, the RealClearPolitics polling average for the generic ballot question ended up favoring Republicans over Democrats by 2 points, but Republicans won the national popular vote by 6 points. CNN was even less accurate than the national average, needless to say. In its last poll of that cycle, it favored the Democrats by 1 point.

In the final analysis, what does all this mean? Polls are far from useless, but the American people should exercise caution and discretion in interpreting them. They should also keep in mind that recent polling by major news organizations evinces a consistent bias in favor of Democrats. 

If, therefore, the current RealClearPolitics average for the generic ballot question puts Democrats up by 7 points, then this result is likely skewed by garbage polls like CNN's. History suggests that the Democrats' edge is likely more modest: say, 3 or 4 points. That small advantage, which is certainly liable to additional shrinkage, may well be insufficient to put the House of Representatives in Nancy Pelosi's gnarled hands. 

It's possible, moreover, that even that 3- or 4-point edge is illusory. Rasmussen Reports' latest poll has Democrats and Republicans tied at 45% on the generic ballot question. And Rasmussen, lest we forget, was the most accurate polling organization in 2016, predicting Hillary Clinton's narrow 2-point victory in the popular vote. If Rasmussen is right again, then in 2018 Republicans might do more than stave off disaster. They might actually win!

The takeaway? CNN wants Republicans to despair in the lead-up to the 2018 midterm elections, but the evidence says...not so fast! 

As always, reports of the death of the GOP are greatly exaggerated.

Dr. Nicholas L. Waddy is an Associate Professor of History at SUNY Alfred and blogs at: He appears weekly on the Newsmaker Show on WLEA 1480.

And here is the American Greatness version: 

Thursday, October 11, 2018

The Incredible Shrinking Democratic Party!

Friends, it's become increasingly obvious that there's very little that unites Democrats, except a loathing for Donald Trump and Republicans, and a desire to "make right" what happened (inexplicably!) in 2016.  I recommend to you this article, which discusses the fragile nature of the "blue wave" we've heard so much about, and more importantly discusses what calamities may befall the Left if that blue wave doesn't materialize.  For now, the crazies and socialists in the Democratic Party are willing to tolerate the leadership of the establishment...but if there's no blue wave?  Then, all hell will break loose, and the consequences will be historic, mark my words.  I agree with this fellow on one thing, above all: the 2018 election is massively important!!!  Don't be caught napping.

Wednesday, October 10, 2018

Dum Spiro Spero

Friends, during my latest appearance on the Newsmaker Show, hosted by Brian O'Neil, we cover all the latest developments with Judge Kavanaugh, the Left's steady descent into madness, and the brightening prospects for Republicans in the midterm elections.  We even allude to the Vietnam War, and I pay tribute to the timeless political wisdom of Richard Nixon's Vice-President Spiro Agnew!  It's an episode of "Waddy Wednesday" not to be missed.

Saturday, October 6, 2018

Hit the Road, Dems!

Friends, it's no secret that 2018 offers Republicans a lot of pickup opportunities in the U.S. Senate.  No fewer than 10 Democratic Senators are running for re-election in states that Trump won in 2016.  Now we know that four Democratic Senators running for re-election in deeply red states -- Joe Donnelly in Indiana, Claire McCaskill in Missouri, Jon Tester in Montana, and Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota -- are voting no on the confirmation of soon-to-be Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh.  These Senators are betraying not only the voters of their respective states, but the basic principles of American justice and universal decency, not to mention the traditions of the Senate itself.  It's time for them to go.  My latest article makes that case.

Thursday, October 4, 2018

The Sum of Our Memories

Friends, the news is coming thick and fast these days!  A lot of it is good, thankfully.  The supplemental FBI investigation into Brett Kavanaugh is now over, and -- predictably -- it found no additional corroboration of the accusations made by various women.  That means it is very likely that Kavanaugh will be confirmed in the next several days.

Meanwhile, every American should read this analysis by Tucker Carlson.  As usual, Tucker asks the tough questions that the rest of the media ignores.  Specifically, he asks, vis-a-vis Dr. Ford, whether her memories have been consistent over the years.  Has she always known with "100%" certainty that Brett Kavanaugh assaulted her, or did she "recover" this memory in the course of undergoing therapy in 2012?  It's a very important question, and one which Dr. Ford's interlocutors never bothered to ask, somewhat incredibly.  To say that she was treated with "kid gloves" during her Senate hearing would be a distinct understatement!

Next, check out this report from NPR, which indicates that, largely because of the Kavanaugh fiasco, Democrats' edge in voter enthusiasm has disappeared!  People have assumed throughout 2018 that a "blue wave" was possible, even likely, because Democrats seemed much more energized than Republicans, even if their "energy" came from Trump Derangement Syndrome.  Well, now Republicans are getting every bit as enthusiastic about voting as Democrats.  Thus, the "blue wave" is looking more and more dubious.

Finally, as the desperation of loony liberals reaches unheard-of heights, their tactics of intimidation, and occasionally violence, are shocking more and more Americans.  Here's an example of a Democratic operative -- he once worked for Senator Feinstein! -- who took left-wing extremism to its logical conclusion and engaged in criminal behavior in an attempt to harm Republican Senators.  This kind of behavior is becoming more and more common, sadly, and few leftists seem concerned that any form of anti-Republican activism could ever go "too far".  I've said it before, and I'll say it again -- if we manage to win in November, this sort of self-destructive behavior among leftists will become the norm, and the Left might even destroy itself.  Stay tuned!

Wednesday, October 3, 2018

A Brave New World

Friends, you won't want to miss out on my latest Newsmaker interview with Brian O'Neil.  Naturally we discuss all the latest developments in the Kavanaugh saga -- and I explain why the Left's desperate bid to prevent conservative domination of the court will fail -- but we also get into some other critical topics.  We talk about President Trump's success in replacing NAFTA with the USMCA -- a new trade dispensation in North America that will strengthen our economy and create more U.S. jobs.  We also discuss revolutionary developments in European politics, including the rising likelihood of a "hard Brexit" by default, since Prime Minister May's government is having trouble negotiating a softer agreement with the EU and with her own MPs.  In addition, I highlight the instability in German politics, where the two main parties are in decline, and where third parties, including the anti-immigration AfD, appear to be the beneficiaries.  The bottom line: everywhere in the West, old political certainties are being upended.  President Trump may be just the beginning of a massive realignment of Western political and social dynamics.  Above all, populism, anchored in common sense, is experiencing a comeback, after decades of political correct, elitist rule. I, for one, find that encouraging.

Monday, October 1, 2018

Deutschland Unter Alles

Friends, my latest article analyzes the political decline of Germany's Chancellor Angela Merkel, caused by, more than anything else, her disastrous decision to let her country be overrun with "refugees" in 2015-16.  I argue that mainstream politicians who refuse to enact sensible immigration policies are courting a right-wing, nationalist, and anti-immigrant backlash.  The most notable effect of that backlash, to date, has been the election of Donald J. Trump as the U.S President, but more may be coming.  Merkel, if she falls, would confirm what you and I have known for a long time: the silent majority simply won't accept weak immigration enforcement, and facile hero-worship of all alleged refugees, forever.  As always, the Left could do itself a great service by acknowledging that the law is the law, even for people of color and Muslims, and thus all illegal immigrants should face prompt repatriation.  That they cannot bring themselves to accept this reveals their pusillanimity and their reverse racism.  Let us hope that the public finally catches on and acts accordingly.

Thanks to Townhall for publishing the article!

Sunday, September 30, 2018

The "Organic" Craze: Why Pay More?

Friends, I'm no nutritionist, but I don't buy organic foods, as a rule, because many studies have shown that there is no great advantage to doing so...and, as always, I'm skeptical of conventional wisdom when it comes to genetically-modified crops, pesticides, etc.  I recommend to you this article, because it discusses how misleading the claims of organic farmers and merchandisers can be.  I was particularly impressed by the argument that, if organic farms produce smaller yields, but use the same amount of land, water, and other resources as conventional farms, then in what sense is organic agriculture "sustainable"?  Actually, it's the opposite of sustainable -- it's wasteful!  So much of what we see on the eco-left isn't driven by reason or evidence, however, but by unthinking prejudice and blind self-satisfaction.  Again, I don't claim great expertise on these matters, but, for now, I'll stick to the genetically-enhanced, pesticide-rich foods that have gotten me this far in life...

Saturday, September 29, 2018

America Demands Proof, Not a Convincing Performance

Friends, I recommend to you this great article, which aptly summarizes where we find ourselves after the testimony of Christine Blasey Ford and Brett Kavanaugh before the U.S. Senate.  The nation was entranced by their emotional performances, but, as I opined beforehand, the superficial credibility of a witness pales in comparison to the power of evidence, and there is no evidence on hand that can prove either Judge Kavanaugh's guilt or the falsity of Ford's claims.  This affair is, always has been, and always will be a matter of "he said, she said", and no FBI investigation will change that.  Democratic Senators did their best to undermine Kavanaugh's credibility, and they gushed over Ford's bravery and nobility (never even considering the possibility, so it would seem, that she could be lying or mistaken), but none of that goes to the heart of issue: did he do it, or did he not?  The hearings were, in the end, a dramatic sideshow that will have, in all likelihood, little effect on the confirmation votes of Democratic and Republican Senators, and which never had anything to do with justice and fair play.

Personally, I see the Republicans' decision to concede a further FBI inquiry into Brett Kavanaugh, lasting one week, as good news.  Such a pause will take away one of the Democrats' key talking points -- that Republicans refused to take the allegations seriously -- but it is highly unlikely to produce definitive evidence of what happened in 1982.  The real effect of the FBI investigation will be to give wavering Republican Senators (Collins, Murkowski, and Flake) political cover to vote "yes" on Kavanaugh.  They can say that they went the extra mile and sought an FBI probe, but that it produced no proof of guilt, and plenty of reason to doubt Ford's account.  The end result will therefore be as I predicted weeks ago: Brett Kavanaugh will be our next Supreme Court Justice.

The Dems tried their best, and they showed just how devious and resourceful they can be in the pursuit of power, but once again they will come up short.  Let's hope that their losing streak remains unbroken in November, and far beyond.

Wednesday, September 26, 2018

Kavanaugh in the Crosshairs

Friends, my latest Newsmaker interview with Brian O'Neil focuses, not surprisingly, on the unfolding drama of the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation battle.  My instincts told me that more accusers would come out of the woodwork, and they sure have!  Judge Kavanaugh's observation that we've entered a political "Twilight Zone" is not far off the mark.  You know that, when Michael Avenatti gets involved, things are bound to get even uglier... 

Will Dr. Ford show up for the hearings tomorrow?  That remains to be seen, but if she does it will be political theater of the first order.  Nonetheless, I still believe that, when the dust settles, Kavanaugh will be on the court.  In the meantime, all I can say is that I feel sorry for his wife and daughters, who must be truly disgusted with the way that the Washington swamp is treating a man who was, by all accounts prior to the last few weeks, a model of integrity and decency.  What a country we inhabit, eh?

Sunday, September 23, 2018

Make the Universe Great Again!

Friends, we get so entranced by the news of the day that we forget about the big picture sometimes.  I've long believed it was mankind's destiny to transcend the limits of this charming little planet and venture out among the stars.  As of the late 1960s, it probably seemed that we were hurdling towards that destiny at a breakneck pace.  No more.  Our zeal for space exploration abated in the 1970s, to be revived slightly by the space shuttle program in the 80s, but since then our momentum in space has been lost.  My latest article is a call to arms to the American people to support President Trump's ambitious agenda in space.  Fortunately, although progress has been slower than any space enthusiast would like, we will soon have a Space Launch System (SLS) that can propel us heavenward.  Personally, I can't wait, and I hope we'll devote the necessary resources to NASA to achieve interplanetary greatness ASAP!

Read all about it in Townhall:

Thursday, September 20, 2018

Don't Count Your Chickens, Democrats!

Friends, I recommend to you this great article, about a recent surprise victory for a Republican candidate for the State Senate in Texas -- and the prospects for Republicans to win more competitive races around the country.  A "red wave" is possible, especially in the Senate, and we can hold our own elsewhere, if only we turn out and VOTE!  Let's make it happen.

Wednesday, September 19, 2018

Rack Up More Wins for the Good Guys

Friends, you won't want to miss my latest Newsmaker interview with Brian O'Neil on WLEA 1480.  We talk at length about the sexual assault allegations against Judge Brett Kavanaugh -- and why he is likely to overcome them and become our nation's next Supreme Court Justice.  We also talk about Chris Collins' future as a Western New York Congressman, and the steady escalation in U.S. tariffs against Chinese goods.  That presages, I feel sure, another win for the Trump administration, as sooner or later the Chinese will agree to revise our trading relationship and pay us greater respect as a trading partner.  We also speculate on who might win the Democratic Presidential nomination in 2020, and we dissect the "Deep State".  Check it out!

Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Loose Lips Sink Ships

Friends, my latest article analyzes the recent bombshell developments in the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation battle.  How should Republicans respond to the Christine Blasey Ford allegations?  Will Kavanaugh ultimately prevail and join the Supreme Court?  Read on and find out!

In Defense of Brett Kavanaugh, Republicans Shouldn't Descend to Democrats' Level

With some glee, Democrats are celebrating what they presume is the demise of President Trump's nominee to be the next Justice of the Supreme Court, Brett Kavanaugh. The allegations made against Kavanaugh by Professor Christine Blasey Ford are indeed serious, but in the end they will fail to deflect Kavanaugh from his path towards confirmation. Kavanaugh will soon be on the court – and Republicans should, in the meantime, avoiding overreacting to the political gamesmanship in which Democrats are engaged, and most of all they should not smear Professor Ford, whose motives are ultimately as unknowable as the events which transpired on that fateful day in 1982.

In opposing the Kavanaugh nomination, leftists and Democrats have shown a willingness to use inflated rhetoric, false and misleading claims, ruthless character assassination, and disingenuous tactics of delay and obfuscation. In short, liberals seem to believe that the complexion of the Supreme Court is so important that they should stop at nothing to defeat the nomination of Kavanaugh. The way in which Democratic Senators talked down to Kavanaugh and twisted his record and his past remarks during his confirmation hearings was a new low point for decorum and respect in the United States Congress. Commentators have been saying for a long time that Americans' commitment to democratic norms and civil discourse has eroded to a dangerous degree, and the fight over Kavanaugh has been an obvious case in point. Democrats spoke early in the process of their desire to “bork” Kavanaugh (referring to their successful campaign to defeat Reagan's pick for the high court, Robert Bork, in 1987), but in truth Brett Kavanaugh has been handled much more roughly than Bork ever was. He has been put through the proverbial ringer.

The latest Democratic efforts to derail Kavanaugh, by weaponizing a vague and unverifiable claim of sexual assault from his teenage years, is a fitting capstone to what has been a truly grueling and repugnant confirmation process. The question now becomes, though, will Republicans respond in kind? Will they, fearing for their grip on the Supreme Court if Kavanaugh is defeated and Democrats take control of the Senate in 2019, overreact and lash out at Professor Ford? Will they attempt to discredit Ford by questioning her motives, her veracity, or even her sanity? My view is that this would be a serious mistake, as well unfair to Ford herself.

Talking heads in the media, and millions of Americans sitting in their living rooms, will naturally want to get to the bottom of what, if anything, happened between Brett Kavanaugh and Christine Blasey Ford 36 years ago. The truth, unfortunately, is that we can scrutinize their claims as much as we like, but we will never know the answer. A polygraph test cannot resolve the issue, because such tests are unreliable, and in addition recollections can be wrong, even if sincere. 

In the end, therefore, Senators, and the American people, will face a simple question: should Brett Kavanaugh's sterling record and reputation be ignored, because he might have behaved improperly towards Professor Ford, or is he, in the best traditions of American justice, innocent until proven guilty, and therefore deserving of confirmation? Much as some in the #MeToo movement might wish it were otherwise, this is still a country of laws, and one in which evidence matters. One cannot destroy a man simply by accusing him of wrongdoing. The election of President Trump in 2016 proved that, beyond any shadow of a doubt.

Republicans and conservatives, therefore, should have confidence that, going forward, Brett Kavanaugh, unless he suddenly admits guilt in the Ford matter, will be our next Supreme Court Justice. Frankly, the motives, veracity, and sanity of Professor Ford are irrelevant. Even if she were the most credible witness in the history of Senate hearings, her performance, no matter how compelling, should not be – cannot be – sufficient to end the career of Brett Kavanaugh. It is only facts that can accomplish that, not suppositions or posturing, and in this case the facts – the evidence – supporting the allegations are very thin indeed. Thus, we must in all fairness conclude that Kavanaugh is innocent.

On the other hand, Republicans face real danger. If they were to treat Professor Ford with, well, the same savagery and contempt that has been inflicted on Brett Kavanaugh, there is a possibility that public sympathy for the Judge would evaporate, and the whole affair could turn into an ugly mess. 

No, Republicans must be the adults in the room. They must treat Judge Kavanaugh, and his accuser, with the sort of fairness, circumspection, and respect that has eluded their Democratic colleagues throughout the process. Republican Senators thus far have shown every indication that they intend to do exactly that: they will act responsibly and judiciously, and they will show sensitivity to Professor Ford and allow her to keep her dignity. Americans will thus be left in no doubt about which party is acting in good faith.

The entire bare-knuckles campaign to defeat the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh can be likened to a leftist tantrum, characterized by vitriol as well as futility. The numbers in the Senate, after all, are with Republicans, and thus the truth has always been that, as long as Republicans keep their cool and close ranks to support a solid conservative nominee, nothing and no one can prevent them from confirming a good man like Brett Kavanaugh.

Democrats can fume all they like, but we won in 2016, and we will win again in the next few weeks, as we make Brett Kavanaugh a Justice of the Supreme Court, and, in the process, tilt the Court even further to the (responsible) right.

Dr. Nicholas L. Waddy is an Associate Professor of History at SUNY Alfred and blogs at: He appears weekly on the Newsmaker program on WLEA 1480.

And here's the American Greatness version: 

Friday, September 14, 2018

The Lesser of Two Evils

Friends, difficult though I find it to root against any political candidate with the last name "Nixon", I think it's safe to say that Cynthia Nixon would have made a dreadful governor, and thus we can be glad that she was defeated by Andrew Cuomo in yesterday's Democratic primary.  We shouldn't be surprised, though, because Cuomo had a massive lead throughout the contest, and Nixon's brand of uncompromising kookiness, while it may appeal to the white granola crowd, doesn't cut it with typical Democratic primary voters, who tend to be working class people of color and not rarefied limousine liberals.  Nixon, of course, never was running for Governor of New York.  She was running for attention, and to annoy Andrew Cuomo.  She accomplished both objectives.  Well played!  The other big news is that the Super Kook, Zephyr Teachout, did not prevail in the Democratic primary for Attorney General.  Again I say: thank heavens!

For me, the other big takeaway from the election in NY is this: my instincts told me that Nixon would lose, but that she would outperform many of the polls that had her getting the support of 20-25% of voters.  I guessed she would win a third of the vote, and she did just that.  My insights are vindicated!  That's good news, because my instincts also tell me that the polls that indicate that Democrats are leading by ten points or more in the race for control of Congress are pure drivel.  My guess is that that Democrats may narrowly win the national vote for the House of Representatives, but they may still fall short of capturing control, nonetheless.  This has happened before, and recently too, in 2012.  My instincts also tell me that Republicans can and will hold on to most of their gains in state legislatures and governorships, and, most importantly, the Republican majority in the Senate will actually grow.  Mark my words: the "blue wave" will disappoint.  You heard it here first!

Thursday, September 13, 2018

Lord, When Will You Lift This Plague of Cuomos?

Friends, some things never change, and one of them appears to be New York State's subservience to the Cuomo clan.  Sure, we briefly enjoyed the benevolent rule of George Pataki (remember those halcyon days?), but by and large we've been in thrall to one Cuomo or another since 1983.  Incredible!  Now, Governor Andrew Cuomo seems poised to win the Democratic nomination for Governor yet again, and no doubt he will go on to victory in November.  Is it conceivable that someday a Republican could beat him?  Yes, but almost certainly NOT in 2018, which will likely be a challenging year for Republicans.  So...take a deep breath, my fellow conservatives, and brace yourselves for more of the same!

All this and more, including FBI leaks designed to undermine President Trump, the race to become New York's next Attorney General, the excesses of the #MeToo movement, the near certainty of Brett Kavanaugh's imminent conformation to the Supreme Court, and the myth of "voter suppression", are discussed between me and Brian O'Neil in my latest Newsmaker interview.  Don't miss it!

Wednesday, September 12, 2018

The Axis of Evil: Steyer, Soros, Bloomberg?

Friends, you've probably heard of George Soros, the billionaire who backs countless left-wing candidates and causes, but Tom Steyer and Mike Bloomberg are giving old George a run for his money in the race to become Public Enemy Number One of American democracy. They are plowing hundreds of millions of dollars into Democratic campaigns, voter registration drives, pro-impeachment propaganda, and efforts to undermine the 2nd Amendment.  My latest article focuses on yet another tentacle in their monstrous plot against Trumpism and liberty: they are lavishing resources on a sometimes-covert effort to undermine the energy industry with nuisance lawsuits.  To them, you see, elections are but one tool in their well-equipped toolbox -- litigation is often more attractive, because they can count on a sympathetic hearing before elitist, liberal judges.  Thus far, these lawsuits haven't gone far, but we need to be vigilant, and we need to fight back against Steyer, Soros, and Bloomberg on every front: public relations, campaign funding, voter mobilization, and civil and criminal litigation.  They leave no stone unturned.  Let's match them stride for stride.

Thanks to The Daily Caller for publishing my latest article!

Monday, September 10, 2018

Colin Kaepernick: the Greatest American Hero of All Time?

Friends, if you're as disgusted and perplexed by Nike's decision to embrace Colin Kaepernick, anti-American crybaby millionaire, as I am, then you might want to read my latest article, which happens to be on that very topic.  I perceive one clear lesson here: corporations see how active and passionate leftists are, and they want to capitalize on that energy.  So where is the energy among conservatives?  We better find it, or cultivate it, soon...or else!

Sunday, September 9, 2018

We Have Not Yet Begun To Fight (China)!

Friends, don't believe everything you hear in the mainstream media.  In fact, believe as little of it as possible.  You hear over and over how trade wars are "stupid" and will only end up hurting all sides.  In fact, the media portrays Trump's trade dispute with China as a mistake of epic (even economically suicidal) proportions.  The truth, as you see in this article, is that thus far the tariffs against China are limited in scope, and have not even succeeded in reducing our trade deficit!  That is, Chinese exports to the U.S. are up, not down!  This is true partly because the Chinese are cooking the books, as usual.  They have devalued their currency to counteract the effects of our tariffs.  They want to maintain their grip on the U.S. market at all costs.  In any case, the "trade war" is only in its early days, and President Trump intends to greatly increase the percentage of Chinese goods subjected to tariffs.  Thus, the medium- and long-term effects of this trade dispute are something that we can only speculate on, at this stage.

The WaddyIsRight perspective?  This trade war has been a long time in coming, and it is absolutely necessary to realign our trading relationship with China and ultimately the rest of the world.  No other president, sadly, would have cared enough about American interests to push things as far as they have gone to date, but China needed to be called on its trade manipulation and hypocrisy, and -- thank God! -- Trump has done it.  My view is that the U.S. and China are already too economically interdependent, and, if this trade war leads us ultimately to diversify our trading links, and deepen our trade ties with countries other than China, that's all to the good.

In sum, the sky isn't falling, despite what the Chicken Little crowd in the mainstream media claims.  President Trump has thrown down the gauntlet, and, in the end, the Chinese will buckle and make a deal, just like South Korea and Mexico have done already.  And, if they don't, we'll buy our tvs and our tennis shoes elsewhere.  So be it!