Can the Invisible Candidate Win the Race?

 

Friends, one of the intriguing questions about 2020 is whether a candidate who has been less available to the voters, and less available to the press, than almost any candidate in modern history can nonetheless win the election.  Maybe.  Biden will say, of course, that he's staying in his basement because it's the responsible thing to do in the midst of a pandemic.  It may also be the smart thing to do, given his predilection for making gaffes and given the fact that the mainstream media is doing his work for him. Be that as it may, Trump is trying way harder to appeal to the voters, and, historically speaking, the voters like to see a candidate for President making an effort.  They don't like to be taken for granted.

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/523595-trump-to-hold-14-rallies-in-final-three-days-of-campaign

 

You'll like this article.  It indicates that Biden backers are already nervous about the early returns, and specifically about low turnout among blacks and Hispanics.  

 

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/biden-aides-see-warning-signs-in-black-latino-turnout-so-far/ar-BB1ayfa6 

If you really want a pick-me-up, check out this site.  It's a Democratic voting analytics firm that's measuring turnout, and if you look specifically at the state-level data and the battleground states you'll see that, according to them, Republicans are ahead of where they were at this point in 2016, which is pretty remarkable given how few Democrats plan to vote on election day this year.  I see ample grounds for optimism!

https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/

How We Got Here

 

Friends, whatever happens on election day, the truth is that this election never should have been close in the first place.  That Joe Biden, perennial loser, scatterbrain, and grifter extraordinaire, is competitive in this race and may even be our next President is down to one thing: media bias.  The mainstream media has consistently given credence to the most absurd and baseless accusations against Donald Trump, while, especially recently, turning a blind eye to any narrative that is remotely problematic for Team Dem.  In short, the media has stopped doing its job -- its old job -- and it has started doing a new job, the job of propagandizing for the Left and the Democratic Party.  This is outrageous and unacceptable, and our democracy will never be healthy and whole again unless the media is completely reinvented and, frankly, purged of its most toxic elements.  This has to be at the very top of the agenda for Trump's second term.

Read all about the media's dereliction of duty here:

 https://spectator.us/american-media-failing-russiagate-obamagate-hunter-biden/

 

And here's an interesting study of the distressing rise in support for socialism and Marxism among young people, and the media double standard that sustains it:

 

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/millenials-gen-z-socialism-marxism 

Finally, coronavirus case numbers continue to rise, and part of the reason may be our growing obsession with masking -- to the detriment of other countermeasures that may be more effective:

https://www.foxnews.com/health/single-day-coronavirus-cases-us-hit-record-high

From Bad to Worse

 

Friends, this one has to be seen to be believed.  Twitter is punishing the head of U.S. Customs and Border Protection for celebrating the construction of the Wall and for lauding its ability to keep violent criminals out of our country.  Apparently supporting the Wall and acknowledging the obvious -- that walls work to keep out bad people -- is "racist".

https://thefederalist.com/2020/10/29/exclusive-twitter-suspends-u-s-border-chief-for-celebrating-walls-protection-from-illegal-aliens/

 

Couple this news with what Twitter has done to the New York Post -- a venerable newspaper is being refused access to its account until it takes down all references to its reporting on the Hunter Biden laptop scandal -- and it's clear that social media is really trying to curry favor with the Dems!  

 

https://nypost.com/2020/10/28/twitter-is-running-a-blackmail-operation-cooperate-or-no-traffic-for-you/ 

 

It's a foretaste of how conservatives will be treated in the "New Order"...that's if the Dems sweep the White House, Congress, and pack the courts.  From that point on, Big Tech will know that it has two choices: serve the interests and advance the narrative of the hegemonic Democratic Party, or be destroyed...literally!  The Dems will break up the big social media companies if they don't tow the line.

 

This is scary stuff!  Could a spring cleaning of Blogger be next?  Who knows if even WaddyIsRight will survive the purge...

Time for a Cold One?

 

Friends, this week's Newsmaker Show, as per usual, covers more ground than a cheetah running at top speed!  In terms of current events, we discuss the state of the race for president, including the significance of early voting data, the confirmation of Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court, and the horrifying prospects for court-packing and the deconstruction of American democracy if the Dems win the White House and the Senate.  Eek!

In terms of history, Brian and I cover the rationale and consequences of Prohibition, the Italian invasion of Greece in October 1940 and the Italian-American perspective on WWII, and the mutiny in the German Navy in October 1918 that foreshadowed the collapse of the Second Reich.

It's all happening in this week's show.  Tune in today!

https://wlea.net/newsmaker-october-28-2020-dr-nick-waddy/

Trump Springs Eternal

 

Friends, there's a lot of polling data right now that looks bleak for the good guys.  That could mean we're cruising for a bruising, or it could mean that many of these polls are worth about what you paid for them, i.e. nothing.  But here's a poll that has shown steady gains for Trump in recent weeks, and now...a lead!  A national lead, mind you, which we haven't seen for a while.  Will it come to pass?

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_oct26

 

And, if there is a surprise Trump victory in the offing, you'll see some of the relevant tea leaves in this fine article by Sean Trende (so aptly named!).  Apparently the early voting data is, on some levels, looking bleak...for the Dems!

 

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2020/10/26/no_really_--_dont_pay_attention_to_early_voting_data_144527.html 

Arguably, if Trump pulls this off, we'll be in "miracle" territory, given how relentlessly he's been savaged by the mainstream media.  There's never been anything like it:

https://www.foxnews.com/media/evening-newscasts-negative-about-trump-92-percent

Pollsters: The People We Love to Hate

 

Friends, we talk a lot about polls here at WaddyIsRight, presumably because we care about who wins our elections, and polls are among the best ways to forecast how those elections will shake out.  Polls, as we all know, though, are fallible.  Every poll has to be "modeled", and that modeling can tell you more about the pollster and his biases than it does about the people being polled.

My latest article offers some alternatives to polling, as we look ahead to the big day: November 3rd.  I point out that early voting data and prediction markets can offer added insights.  See what you make of it.

https://townhall.com/columnists/nicholaswaddy/2020/10/24/when-polls-and-pollsters-fail-uswhere-do-we-turn-n2578706

Could "Shy Trumpers" Be the Key to 2020?

 

Friends, it's worth considering whether this year's polls might be seriously flawed, both because of the vagaries of the pandemic and mail-in voting, and because of the elusive "shy Trumpers", who prefer not to admit their allegiance to the President to pollsters, or even to their closest friends and immediate family members!  I'm extensively quoted in this Sputnik News piece about this phenomenon.  Take a gander.

https://sputniknews.com/us/202010221080851648-how-us-polls-overlooked-hidden-trump-vote--why-biden-shouldnt-take-victory-for-granted/

 

In other news, you may have heard that there was a little debate last night...  Well, here are my thoughts.

I would regard this debate as, by and large, a draw, in the sense that both Biden and Trump performed well, by the low standards of political rhetoric currently en vogue.  Trump was obviously determined to make Hunter Biden's business deals, in which Sleepy Joe may be implicated, an issue.  He did so, but he might have needed to explain the issue to voters first, since many of them will know next to nothing about it, given the media and social media blackout on all anti-Biden narratives.  In addition, I thought Biden did a good job of parrying the attacks.  He got Trump talking about his tax returns as much as he was talking about Hunter Biden.  The question that Trump should have asked is: Does Sleepy Joe stand by his claim that he never discussed business with Hunter?  That question is something of a trap for Joe, since more and more evidence is emerging that he was in the loop...  Be that as it may, Trump successfully seeded the minds of the voters with rising doubts about Joe Biden's honesty and integrity.  Now it's up to campaign ads, Trump surrogates, and journalists still willing to their jobs to tell the rest of the story...

Will the debate alter the race?  Probably not much, since both candidates accomplished more or less what they set out to.  Frankly, this debate will be hard to weaponize against either man.  Maybe, just maybe, Biden's continuing denials about the "family business" will catch up with him.  Maybe, just maybe, Biden's opposition to the oil industry will emerge as a blunder.  The more likely scenario, however, is that any points Trump might have scored will be nullified by media spin, which will pick at any imperfections in his performance and arguments, and will simultaneously dismiss Biden corruption as a Russia-induced fantasy.

 

The real question, then, is: what is the state of the race?  Is Biden comfortably ahead, as most MSM polls show?  Or is the race very close, perhaps even with a slight electoral college edge to Trump, as Trafalgar (and possibly Rasmussen and IBD-TIPP) would have it?  And that question, as we all know, can only be definitively answered by the voters themselves.

Google's Coming Comeuppance

 

Friends, I've written before about Google's dodgy ethics and its track record of not-so-petty larceny.  Well, now it appears that the Supreme Court (which is about to get even Supreme-er!) is ready to hold Google to account.  That's a good start, but the Dems may be right: only be breaking up these Big Tech monopolies can we protect the American people from their ravages and their high-handedness.  Anyway, check out my latest article, and see if you don't agree that Google's day of reckoning may be near.

https://townhall.com/columnists/nicholaswaddy/2020/10/22/is-the-dam-about-to-burst-for-google-n2578542

 

***

 

Let's face it: allegations of corruption against the Biden clan are going to play a major role in determining the outcome of this election.  Therefore, every American should read this story and decide for him or herself how strong the evidence against the Bidens really is:

 

https://nypost.com/2020/10/22/hunter-biz-partner-confirms-e-mail-details-joe-bidens-push-to-make-millions-from-china/ 

MAGA, BABY!

 

Friends, Romans, Fellow Trumpers -- yesterday I attended an historic Trump rally in Erie, Pennsylvania!  It was my second Trump rally in PA, and it was a humdinger, as you'd expect.  

 

It was different from my first Trump rally in several respects: it was colder (but not frigid), we were bused from the parking area to the venue, the crowd was marginally smaller, and so was the event space, there was no warmup act (so no Don, Jr. and no Melania -- the latter was expected), I got a free hat, because a Trump volunteer was hurling them in my direction, Trump danced a jig to the tune of "YMCA", there was not a single counter-demonstrator or heckler to be seen anywhere, Trump showed a brief video documenting Biden/Harris's prevarication on fracking, everyone in my group got to sit in the bleachers, and, in this case, a presidential election was just two weeks away, and I found myself in the most important swing state of all!  High drama, right?

This rally was also similar to the one I attended before in some important respects: the mood was jovial and the crowd was friendly, most everyone was decked out in Trump gear, Trump was fashionably late, security was tight (apparently even bullets, minus a gun, are considered gauche -- who knew?), Trump was charismatic and had the crowd eating out of his hand, the news media was booed, Air Force One pulled up behind the bleachers, and my confidence and faith in Trump and in the American people was renewed!  Some things, you see, never change in Trumpland.  :)

I hope more of you -- all of you -- get a chance to hop on the Trump Train and experience a rally.  Remember, the Trump road show is constitutionally limited to two terms...although, as we're constantly reminded, Trump is a dictator, so maybe he'll stick around until Kim Jong-Junior can take the helm?  We can only hope...

Our Finest Hour?

 

Friends, on this day back in 1983, the U.S. military took on its greatest foe of all time: the "People's Revolutionary Army" of Grenada, a tiny island in the Caribbean which had succumbed to Marxism.  And, wouldn't you know it, the final score was: America 1, Grenada 0!  Woo hoo!  All kidding aside, showing the commies that we were willing to spill American blood to stop their advance in the Western Hemisphere was all part and parcel of winning the Cold War...and that was a war worth fighting!

This week's Newsmaker Show also features coverage of the anti-climatic ACB hearings, the polls, the upcoming and final presidential debate, and the Hunter Biden email scandal. Brian and I also address, in our "This Day in History" segment, rising opposition to the Vietnam War in 1967 and the fate of Yugoslavia in WWII.

Don't miss a single moment!

https://wlea.net/newsmaker-october-21-2020-dr-nick-waddy/

 

***

 

In other news, check out the latest IBD/TIPP poll, which shows The Donald nipping at Sleepy Joe's heels:

 

https://www.investors.com/news/biden-vs-trump-poll-donald-trump-new-high-in-tight-race-ibd-tipp-presidential-poll/ 

Here's a great statement on why a vote for Trump is a civic duty and a moral imperative:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2020/10/20/ben_shapiro_i_did_not_vote_for_donald_trump_in_2016_i_am_voting_for_donald_trump_in_2020.html