tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post5747466540287738775..comments2024-03-27T23:44:50.699-04:00Comments on Waddy Is Right: Pelosi Now, Pelosi Forever?Nicholas Waddyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14650770835328089297noreply@blogger.comBlogger29125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-10897862516226574002018-12-08T17:15:55.304-05:002018-12-08T17:15:55.304-05:00Dr. Waddy: I'll try, but computers have a vis...Dr. Waddy: I'll try, but computers have a visceral antipathy to me and I return it, not for any doubt of the benefits of modern technology but because they willfully task me! Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11685137896038330527noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-26776311919673351182018-12-04T15:00:02.467-05:002018-12-04T15:00:02.467-05:00True, Jack. OPEC doesn't have the same clout ...True, Jack. OPEC doesn't have the same clout it had in 1973, but it still has plenty, sad to say. For future reference, it looks like links within these comments aren't clickable, but if you drag your cursor over them (thus highlighting them), and then right-click, you can "open in a new tab"...Nicholas Waddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14650770835328089297noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-87549855870319269982018-12-02T19:06:43.141-05:002018-12-02T19:06:43.141-05:00Dr. Waddy: My always adversarial computer would n...Dr. Waddy: My always adversarial computer would not allow me to read the articles you cited. But I am confident in assuming that you would not have linked them had they not been credible. So I stand strongly cautioned against thinking that countries we value would not be adversely effected by a vindictive cut off of Mid East oil analogous perhaps to 1973.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11685137896038330527noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-23936103307056333722018-11-30T13:40:58.581-05:002018-11-30T13:40:58.581-05:00Jack, two of them are just pie charts, and one is ...Jack, two of them are just pie charts, and one is an article.Nicholas Waddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14650770835328089297noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-58989198433119043152018-11-29T16:47:43.129-05:002018-11-29T16:47:43.129-05:00Dr. Waddy: I'm going to read all those article...Dr. Waddy: I'm going to read all those articles. I must give the empirical evidence you have presented full attention as it is a very creditable response to my opinions.Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11685137896038330527noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-62762066981672405612018-11-29T14:15:39.762-05:002018-11-29T14:15:39.762-05:00Jack, I fear your analysis is overly optimistic. ...Jack, I fear your analysis is overly optimistic. Here is where the Japanese get their oil:<br /><br />http://studies.aljazeera.net/ResourceGallery/media/Images/2016/2/18/201621865034478734_8.jpg<br /><br />Here is where the Chinese get their oil:<br /><br />https://d1o9e4un86hhpc.cloudfront.net/images/tinymce/nickch2.jpg<br /><br />The Chinese have diversified a lot more than the Japanese, but Mideast oil is still VITAL to the global energy picture.<br /><br />US exports are significant, but pale in comparison to OPEC production.<br /><br />https://www.cnbc.com/2018/06/27/us-oil-exports-boom-to-record-level-surpassing-most-opec-nations.html<br /><br />Ergo, I have to respectfully disagree that anyone can dispense with Mideast oil producers, including the Saudis. Look at how the Europeans continue to depend on Russian energy -- despite thumbing their noses at Russia constantly. Oil=clout. That's inescapable, I'm afraid.Nicholas Waddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14650770835328089297noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-7153965324191054562018-11-28T17:50:36.811-05:002018-11-28T17:50:36.811-05:00Dr. Waddy: The Japanese,in my experience, are very...Dr. Waddy: The Japanese,in my experience, are very restrained consumers of energy both on the road and at home and their industry is very modern and efficient. I don't know how much they use natural gas but they are very adaptable and probably would take to it readily. Be it oil or natural gas, I'm confident that we and Canada could supply them enough to preserve their high standard of living and quell any fears about them rearming. Japan sets a very good example for all of East Asia of democratic prosperity. <br /><br />I don't see Saudi Arabia as a vital ally for us but we may be one for them. If we can influence them to lead an Arab rapproachment with Israel (if only because they fear Iran) then they may be worth cultivating. But our days of cringing before those medieval potentates are over and good riddance. Now that their petroleum based blackmail is disabled by good old American free enterprise they are going to need an Enlightenment of their own in order to gain our respect and recognition as citizens of the 21st century. Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11685137896038330527noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-77284266888339303542018-11-27T20:40:18.828-05:002018-11-27T20:40:18.828-05:00Dr. Waddy: I wonder about China's dependence. ...Dr. Waddy: I wonder about China's dependence. Its a vast land and includes resource rich Sinkiang Province (and in "include" I recognize China's recent totalitarian outrages in non Han Chinese Sinkiang.) Also always for China is the possibility of detente with Russia-Siberia, providing conveniently placed fuel sources. But Japan, it is of course and of painful historical confirmation, utterly dependent on outside sources of fuel for its 1st world economy. But we and Canada can supply them from our surplus, both negating China's fears of Japan militarily resurgent and further defanging the Arabs.<br /><br />As for the EU, let them stew; they cannot muster power. Britain has the North Sea Oil and still, the British Navy . Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11685137896038330527noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-20022884272802811852018-11-27T15:06:24.967-05:002018-11-27T15:06:24.967-05:00Jack, you're right that our newfound oil indep...Jack, you're right that our newfound oil independence puts us in a strong position. The irony is that, although it's Europe, China, and Japan that need Mideast oil, not us, they still expect us to be the hegemonic power in the region, and they reserve the right to snipe at us as we fight to keep THEIR oil flowing. What a raw deal. What keeps the Iranians at bay, at any rate, is us, the Israelis, and the Saudis. Much as the Left would like to throw away that crucial alliance, I doubt it will happen.Nicholas Waddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14650770835328089297noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-34210544317351650862018-11-27T09:52:12.187-05:002018-11-27T09:52:12.187-05:00Dr. Waddy: We convinced the Soviets that we would...Dr. Waddy: We convinced the Soviets that we would fight them if they went too far (i.e. Western Europe); I think that was a key component of the containment policy. We should draw a similar line against Iran. At a minimum it should tell them "you WILL NOT attack Israel; if you do you WILL be destroyed, if not by Israel then by us". The survival of Israel is vital for the continued progress of world civilization, just as destroying communism was. As for the tiresome antipathy between Persian and Arab and Turk; a plague on all their houses. They can't "oil" us anymore and if the rest of the world can't ween itself then let it do what it will; let the EU live its green dreams. At the rate we are going we'll probably be the world's best source of oil anyway. I don't know much about economics but that's my take. Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11685137896038330527noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-42580382623642372942018-11-26T21:42:25.887-05:002018-11-26T21:42:25.887-05:00How do you mean, Jack? Contain Iran? I suppose i...How do you mean, Jack? Contain Iran? I suppose in a sense that's what we're doing in Yemen, but Syria is a tougher case...Nicholas Waddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14650770835328089297noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-62349332310001035092018-11-26T19:12:30.693-05:002018-11-26T19:12:30.693-05:00Dr. Waddy: We stopped them in '72. I was out ...Dr. Waddy: We stopped them in '72. I was out in the Gulf of Tonkin and it was as close to wartime conditions out there as I saw in my four years. We were launching strikes on Haiphong harbor with Russian ships docked there. I was near the end of my enlistment and I thought I'd be in for the duration. The successful NVA and Khmer Rouge conquests took place in '75, after our ground forces were almost all gone. Congress refused Ford's request for air strikes. I agree that containment was the right way to go;in the end we won and saved the world yet again. We should do the same with Iran. Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11685137896038330527noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-89031356230317182852018-11-26T17:50:01.515-05:002018-11-26T17:50:01.515-05:00A good debate. We can speculate about what was go...A good debate. We can speculate about what was going through Vietnamese minds at various points, but we know what was going through American minds: a firm determination to stop communist aggression. I believe containment was the best policy in the face of the communist threat. And frankly, even if one doesn't believe that Vietnam was the best place to fight the red hordes, once we were committed and tens of thousands of Americans had died in the cause, why not see it through to victory? As I said, the hard work was already done. Look at what happened to the NVA invasion in 1972. We snatched defeat from the jaws of victory!Nicholas Waddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14650770835328089297noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-78042743992307783652018-11-26T10:20:31.957-05:002018-11-26T10:20:31.957-05:00Dr. Waddy and Rod: Jean Kirkpatrick discoursed on ...Dr. Waddy and Rod: Jean Kirkpatrick discoursed on the difference between authoritarian and totalitarian governments in Commentary in (I think) 1979. Venal authoritarian tinhorns generally leave you alone unless you get in their way. That was S. Vietnam. But totalitarians like Ho Ho Ho Chi Minh's boys do their worst to exert merciless control over every aspect and every moment of everyone's life. OCD must be endemic in their cadre. <br /><br />Then there is Cambodia,a country subjected to one of history's most savage injustices. First they were invaded by N. Vietnam (no friend to Cambodians at any rate). What were U.S. forces to do; allow themselves to be flanked? Then the Khmer Rouge .. . ! Cambodians had a relatively decent life before the advent of those execrable idealists; under communism it couldn't have been worse, for those who survived that is. The U.S. could have stopped Pol Pot and his subhumans but . . .Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11685137896038330527noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-74394976875874530842018-11-26T08:28:34.031-05:002018-11-26T08:28:34.031-05:00Dr. Waddy and Jack, the assumption is that in 1972...Dr. Waddy and Jack, the assumption is that in 1972-74 that the South Vietnam was a unified nation in battling the North. The country was a mess internally. The government was in disarray, and its people were tired of fighting. <br /><br />In addition, the conditions in Vietnam in 1954 were not much different in the South versus North. South Vietnam was a French colony, and basically operated in a feudal structure. Life was oppressive for the vast majority of people living in the South. I doubt very much that Communism looked worse to them.Rod Carvethhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07603160183337170296noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-2047905379240205552018-11-25T17:06:34.513-05:002018-11-25T17:06:34.513-05:00I must say, I think both of you make good points. ...I must say, I think both of you make good points. Rod, I agree that Vietnam was not a war the U.S. NEEDED to fight, and no vital U.S. interests were at stake. Containment was at stake, though, and how many allegedly unimportant countries were we prepared to surrender before we took a stand? The Vietnam War was undoubtedly more costly in lives and treasure than we anticipated, but it was always winnable, and the tragedy is that we lost it AFTER winning it. In military terms, the situation had stabilized, and, by 1972, the South Vietnamese only need air support, training, and weapons from us to keep their independence intact. That we refused after 1974 to pay even that modest price to keep our promise to the South Vietnamese people, and to maintain our national honor and dignity, is really...SAD (to coin a phrase).<br /><br />Jack is right that plenty of Vietnamese showed by their actions that they opposed communism, and we can never know how a truly free election in 1954, or any other year, would have turned out. Given what communism unleashed in the USSR and China up to the 1960s, I can't imagine how anyone with common sense in the U.S. could have believed that the Vietnamese people would have been better off under Marxist rule. It would take some rose-colored (pinko?) glasses to reach that conclusion.Nicholas Waddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14650770835328089297noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-49847810217079467622018-11-25T10:29:30.534-05:002018-11-25T10:29:30.534-05:00Rod: In 1954 approx 400,000 Vietnamese fled south...Rod: In 1954 approx 400,000 Vietnamese fled south. Of course Diem dreaded the assured domination of the communist North and those 400,000 voted with their feet to agree with him. They knew what hellish degradation was in store; it was happening just north of them in China. Who in their right minds, if they know what it means, would consent to total rule by luxury loving communist sociopaths?<br /><br />Meanwhile, the boomers were trying out hula hoops and Davy Crockett hats and the monstrous betrayal of their country indulged in by far too many of them was over ten years ahead in a future which could not have been predicted.<br /><br />The war against world communism was as vital and necessary as was WWII. By 1991 it was won, in large part because the Soviet Union imploded from the unbearable strain of pauperizing the population to try to overpower the U.S. militarily. North Vietnamese General Giap knew why he had won: he said" the domestic antiwar movement in the U.S. was all that kept us going". But by the 90's America had changed, due in large part to Ronald Reagan and Saint John Paul II and partly also because the boomers were learning how very ethereal and irresponsible their dream of Aquarius had been; parenthood, property owning, gray hairs and taxes will do that. Desert Storm was the clincher; the Soviets saw the real America at war and finally realized they could never best us. Vietnam was a battle we lost, because of the naivete and ingratitude of too many in the huge boomer generation, in a war we won. Our leaders had legitimate concerns about the constant expansion of the most inhuman political and economic system ever and understandably believed that U.S. power could stop it, to our benefit and that of the world. Churchill was right in saying "better to die resisting than to endure the cold light of the execution yard" which is absolutely assured wherever Marxists take over. How could Eisenhower and even Kennedy have known "your sons and your daughters are beyond your command" then - why, Dylan and his Nobel prize winning wisdom had not yet been revealed to our thirsty ears. Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11685137896038330527noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-52402686002788121752018-11-24T16:51:17.296-05:002018-11-24T16:51:17.296-05:00Jack and Dr. Waddy,
First, the Vietnam War was n...Jack and Dr. Waddy, <br /><br />First, the Vietnam War was not worth it for the U.S. Our involvement did not do anything but lose nearly 60,000 good Americans and maim countless others. When Diem reneged on the promised election from the Geneva Accords, he did so because he believed that the North would end up dominating a unified Vietnam. South Vietnam's population was dominated by peasants and low-level service workers who resented the elite autocracy of the South Vietnamese government, and saw more promise with the North Vietnamese system. What happened? The North ended up dominating the unified Vietnam. All the was accomplished was destroying American, South Vietnamese and North Vietnamese lives, as well as destroying major portions of Vietnam through bombs and Agent Orange. Nothing was achieved but death and destruction.<br /><br />Second, to say the U.S. "goaded" the South Vietnamese to fight is a little naive. Diem Diem encouraged the U.S. involvement as the U.S. involvement helped keep coups at bay. But, once the U.S. saw that Diem was more of a hindrance than a benefit (esp. after the Buddhist uprisings), the U.S. had Diem assassinated. At that point, the U.S. was in a "you break it, you buy it" situation -- one that they should never have been involved in to begin with. Rod Carvethhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07603160183337170296noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-19558562435935872692018-11-24T15:16:56.065-05:002018-11-24T15:16:56.065-05:00I agree, Jack. There's one word that describe...I agree, Jack. There's one word that describes our rationale for cutting-and-running from the conflict in Vietnam: cowardice. We goaded the South Vietnamese to fight, and we abandoned them mid-fight. Shameful, really. We're lucky our good name survived that dark chapter.Nicholas Waddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14650770835328089297noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-71356200623529983302018-11-24T10:23:33.891-05:002018-11-24T10:23:33.891-05:00Dr. Waddy; As is so often the case our pursuit of ...Dr. Waddy; As is so often the case our pursuit of our national interests also does great good for other nations. The"peacenik, anti war" crowd was not "anti" the North's war effort, just that of their own country. I would bid them seriously consider the sufferings of the millions of victims of Vietnamese and Cambodian communist subhumans. But for the staggering ingratitude of too many of its children, the U.S. could have prevented this. Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11685137896038330527noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-68589270064619072432018-11-23T15:34:19.537-05:002018-11-23T15:34:19.537-05:00And well said, Jack! It's always consoled the...And well said, Jack! It's always consoled the Left that our enemies in Vietnam were just nationalist "freedom fighters", but their tactics were monstrous. Surrendering to a flood-tide of barbarism wasn't America's finest hour, by any stretch.Nicholas Waddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14650770835328089297noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-3213767913145121432018-11-23T15:29:58.817-05:002018-11-23T15:29:58.817-05:00I respectfully disagree, Rod. If we had allied on...I respectfully disagree, Rod. If we had allied only with blameless and squeaky-clean governments during the Cold War, it would have been a mighty short war, and we'd all we speaking Russian right now. We needed to get our hands dirty, and frankly it was in our interests to fight communism in a backwater like Vietnam so we didn't have to fight it in Munich, Rome, or Paris. The Vietnam War was a messy, odious conflict, but I believe it was one worth fighting.Nicholas Waddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14650770835328089297noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-3407834400452451412018-11-22T20:09:02.421-05:002018-11-22T20:09:02.421-05:00Rod and Dr.Waddy: The idea of communists adhering...Rod and Dr.Waddy: The idea of communists adhering to the principles of a free election is insupportable. The North would have applied lethal force during and after such a sham. <br /><br />The domino theory was creditable. The Brits met the murderous Malayan communists with military force, a wise tactic. In doing so they prevented the strategic Straits of Johore from becoming a Marxist turnstile. WWII had taught the hard lesson of the futility of appeasing totalitarians and the Brits knew it first hand. But our boomers didn't and it was they who won the Vietnam War and celebrated (oh yes, I saw it) those who were blithe to put plastic bags over human heads and to dance at the sight of their death throes. These are the bunch that went on a rampage against the ethnic Chinese of the Cholon section of Saigon in 1975 and sent them on involuntary South China Sea cruises. That is what we were fighting and we would have defeated it had not that monumentally naive college protected faction of the boomers thrown its morally effete tantrum. I take no personal offense to your reasoned criticism of our effort but I do offer this counterargument. Dr. Waddy: I don't know that many of us in the service at the time appreciated the necessity of the Cold War but thank God our leaders did and I'm confident that gratitude is seconded by the uncounted millions who emerged from Marxist hell because President Reagan bade our country hold firm. <br /><br />Jackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11685137896038330527noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-35986932145913027042018-11-22T17:44:30.000-05:002018-11-22T17:44:30.000-05:00Dr. Waddy, I must admit that I was taken aback dur...Dr. Waddy, I must admit that I was taken aback during your broadcast the lack of historical context about your comments on the Westmoreland quote about the Vietnam War. There is no doubt that the U.S. had the firepower to bomb the North Vietnamese out of existence. We didn't lose the war, though, because the anti-war movement kept us from winning. We had no business being in that conflict to begin with.<br /><br />After the French got their asses kicked at Dien Bien Phu, The Democratic Republic of Vietnam (North Vietnam) and the State of Vietnam (South Vietnam) agreed to a truce and then an election to unify the country in 1956. Instead, Diem forced out Bao Dai and the election never happened as Diem reneged. We never should have been involved with such a corrupt government, and only was because of a flawed notion of the "domino theory."<br /><br />By the 1970s (and about 58,000 senseless deaths), we finally got out of a conflict that we should never have been in. It was the right and moral thing to do.Rod Carvethhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07603160183337170296noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8511148187940933062.post-7863527791292578292018-11-22T14:03:42.960-05:002018-11-22T14:03:42.960-05:00Very formidable! I feel rather sorry for her, I m...Very formidable! I feel rather sorry for her, I must say. Controlling the House really is a mixed blessing. Ask Paul Ryan. It's like herding cats. Her list of accomplishments is destined to be short.<br /><br />I don't doubt that many people are suffering in Central America, but I very much doubt that walking to Los Angeles is the only, or the best, solution to that suffering. No Central American country is a lost cause, like Syria or Somalia. There is opportunism in these caravans, in my view.<br /><br />It is indeed comforting to see that the military is held in high regard by most Americans. In some ways, I think our country is missing a big challenge or sense of mission such as the Cold War conveyed. Now THERE was a "war" worth fighting. Most modern wars pale in comparison.<br /><br />Theresa May could well be headed for early retirement, but that wouldn't necessarily be bad for Brexit. Political chaos and indecision could produce a hard Brexit by default. The danger, of course, is that it could also produce a Prime Minister Corbyn. One wonders whether the Conservatives can limp along, given how divided they are on Brexit. Perhaps the storm will pass, the break will be made, and, when the world doesn't come to an end, everyone will breathe a sigh of relief...Nicholas Waddyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14650770835328089297noreply@blogger.com